Posts Tagged ‘Westpac’

ASX Company News: Westpac Credit Rating Downgraded By Standard and Poors

Sunday, December 4th, 2011

In January 2011 Standard & Poor’s (S&P) announced that it was changing its criteria for assessing bank credit ratings globally and provided draft criteria on which banks would be assessed.

Following a review period, the new criteria were finalised on 9 November 2011 and S&P is in the process of updating all of its bank ratings globally.  On 29 November 2011, S&P released ratings for the 37 largest rated banks globally, which saw: 15 banks downgraded; 2 banks upgraded; and 20 banks unchanged.

On 1 December 2011, S&P announced the updated ratings for certain banks across the Asia Pacific region under the revised approach.  Under the changes, the ratings of the major Australian Banks, including Westpac (WBC), have been lowered by 1 notch.  As a result, Westpac’s issuer credit rating has now been assessed as AA- down from AA.  The outlook for the rating is stable.  Westpac’s short term rating has been affirmed at A-1+.

As a result of the criteria changes, and the update to Westpac’s issuer credit rating, Westpac’s subsidiary ratings have also been updated and are now AA-.  These include the issuer credit rating for Westpac New Zealand Limited, Westpac Life Insurance Services Limited and Westpac Lenders Mortgage Insurance Limited.

Rating changes have also impacted Westpac’s subordinated debt and Hybrid credit ratings. Following the changed S&P criteria, Westpac remains one of a small number of banks worldwide within the Rating Agency’s AA categories.  Westpac Banking Corporation is rated Aa2 / Stable / P1 by Moody’s and AA / Stable / F1+ by Fitch Ratings.

www.westpac.com.au

http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/wbc

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CBA earns $1bn, slashes dividend

Wednesday, May 13th, 2009

In disappointing news for shareholders, the CBA plans to slash its dividend by 25% to $1.15 a share, in an effort to protect itself from the impact of the weakened economy, rising unemployment and a slowdown in credit demand.

In a trading update released today, the Commonwealth Bank announced cash earnings for the March quarter were $1.15 billion, creating a cash return on equity of more than 15%.

Optimistically, Commbank Chief Executive Ralph Norris said that while the economic conditions remained challenging, the global financial markets were no longer in freefall.

The dividend cut follows similar cuts made recently by the ANZ, NAB and Westpac.


ASX Code: CBA
Chart from The Bourse

For further information:

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Old dog, new tricks – Protecting Profits

Wednesday, April 15th, 2009

With the big run up in the markets over the past three weeks (S&P500 up 20%) it may be time to protect those profits. Obviously the concern is that you may miss out on further upside if you sell out now, but at the same time you do not want to give back your hard earned and as yet unrealised profits.

To protect profits your options are:

  1. Sell stock holding now but will miss out on any price upside.
  2. Sell calls over your stock (covered call) limits upside and only gives limited protection to the downside.
  3. Buy puts (protective put) protection of unrealized profits at a cost.

Combination of the Above Options (The Collar Strategy)
There is an options strategy called a collar that is designed to protect your profits. The primary concern in employing a collar is protection of profits accrued from underlying shares rather than increasing returns on the upside.

A collar can be established by holding shares of an underlying stock, purchasing a protective put and writing a covered call on that stock. The option portions of this strategy are referred to as a combination.
The collar is an option strategy which combines a covered call with a protective put:

  1. Covered Call – In the covered call you agree to sell your stock at the call strike price. For this you receive a premium (at the time you sell the call). The drawback with this strategy is that you are limiting your profits to the level of the strike price of the sold call.
  2. Protective Put – With the protective put you are buying protection for your holdings. For this protection you pay out a premium, which gives you the right to sell your stock holdings at the put strike price.

Market View
The collar strategy is used when market view is Neutral, following a time of market appreciation.

Aim of Collar Strategy
An investor will employ this strategy after accruing unrealised profits from the underlying shares, and wants to protect these gains with the purchase of a protective put. At the same time, the investor is willing to sell his stock at a price higher than current market price so an out-of-the-money call contract is written, covered in this case by the underlying stock.

Advantages of Using the Collar
This strategy offers the stock protection of a put. However, in return for accepting a limited upside profit potential on his underlying shares (to the call strike price), the investor writes a call contract. Because the premium received from writing the call can offset the cost of the put the investor is obtaining downside put protection at a smaller net cost than the cost of the put alone. In some cases, depending on the strike prices and the expiration month chosen, the premium received from writing the call will be more than the cost of the put.

In other words, the combination can sometimes be established for a net credit – the investor receives cash for establishing the position. The investor keeps the cash credit regardless of the price of the underlying stock when the options expire. Until the investor either exercises his put and sells the underlying stock or is assigned an exercise notice on the written call and is obligated to sell his stock, all rights of stock ownership are retained.

Before Expiration – Roll/Close Position
The combination may be closed out as a unit just as it was established as a unit. To do this, the investor enters a combination order to buy a call with the same contract and sell a put with the same contract terms, paying a net debit or receiving a net cash credit as determined by current option prices in the marketplace.

Actions at expiration:

  1. If the underlying stock price is between the put and call strike prices when the options expire, the options will generally expire with no value. The investor will retain ownership of the underlying shares and can either sell them or hedge them again with new option contracts.
  2. If the stock price is below the put strike price as the options expire, the put will be in-the-money and have value, while the call option will expire worthless. The investor can elect to either sell the put before the close of the market on the option’s last trading day and receive cash, or exercise the put and sell the underlying shares at the put strike price.
  3. If the stock price is above the call strike price as the options expire, the sold call will be in-the-money and the investor can expect assignment to sell the underlying shares at the strike price, while the put option will expire worthless. Otherwise, if retaining ownership of the shares is now desired, the investor can close out the sold call position by purchasing a call with the same contract terms before the close of trading.

Worked Examples

1) April collar over Westpac (WBC)
You may trade a Collar over Westpac for April protected with a 1950 April Put and with profit limited with a 2050 April Call. There are three scenarios on exercise day:

i) Westpac trading above $20.50 on 23-Apr. This would provide an exercised return of 3.2%.

ii) Westpac trading below $19.50 on 23-Apr. This would result in an exercised loss of 3.2%.

iii) Westpac trading between $19.50 and $20.50 on 23-Apr. The protection would have cost you 2.0% and you can open a new collar for May (noting XDIV due in May).

Therefore you can expect returns (with your position protected for 23 days) of between 3.2% and a loss of 3.2% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below).

Table: Returns for an April collar over WBC.

Figure: Payoff Diagram for an April collar over WBC (Source Market Analyser).

2) May collar over Westpac (WBC)

You may trade a Collar over Westpac for May protected with a 1950 May Put and with profit limited with a 2050 May Call. There are three scenarios on exercise day:

iv) Westpac trading above $20.50 on 23-Apr. This would provide an exercised return of 0.1% (excluding dividends).
v) Westpac trading below $19.50 on 23-Apr. This would result in an exercised loss of 7.7% excluding dividends).
vi) Westpac trading between $19.50 and $20.50 on 23-Apr. The protection would have cost you 5.1% and you can open a new collar for June (excluding dividends).

Therefore you can expect returns excluding dividends (with your position protected for 58 days) of between 0.1% and a loss of 7.7% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below). Refer to the next section showing the impact of the dividend.

Table: Returns for a May collar over WBC (excluding dividend).

Figure: Payoff Diagram for a May collar over WBC (Source Market Analyser).

3) May collar over Westpac (WBC) – Sweetener Upcoming Dividend Season

Table: Returns for a May collar over WBC (including dividend).

Note: Assumption for dividend is for XDIV at 19-May-09 of 55 cents.

You may trade a Collar over Westpac for May protected with a 1950 May Put and with profit limited with a 2050 May Call. The three scenarios on exercise day are the same as before, however returns improve considerably when you include dividend.

You can expect returns including dividends (with your position protected for 58 days) of between 2.9% and a loss of 4.9% depending on the stock price on the exercise day (see the payoff diagram below).

Conclusion
The Collar Options strategy provides you with protection at a price, but if you have significant unrealised gains or want to take advantage of the upcoming dividend season this strategy can provide you with a limited risk way of holding stock positions in this volatile market environment.

By Michael Hevern

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Our banks are the world s most profitable. Hooray..?

Friday, February 20th, 2009

Westpac is the world s most profitable bank, according to a survey by Boston Consulting Group. This is terrific news for shareholders, but may make Westpac s customers wonder who is paying for these record profits.

The survey also found the Australian banking sector to be the most lucrative in the world. With recent news about escalating ATM fees and job layoffs, this may come as no surprise to consumers.

Meanwhile, if you ve stashed your covert monies in a Swiss bank account, now might be a good time to reassess your options. UBS has agreed to divulge details of American account holders to US authorities investigating tax evasion, thus ending a centuries-old tradition of secret accounts management, and no doubt creating disappointment for espionage screenwriters everywhere.

Stocks for your watchlist:

  • Westpac: WBC.AX (ASX); WBC.NZ (NZX); WBK.N (NYSE)
  • Commonwealth Bank: CBA.AX (CBA)
  • National Australia Bank: NAB.AX (ASX); NAB.NZ (NZX)
  • Bank of Queensland: BOQ.AX (ASX)
  • Australia and New Zealand Banking Group: ANZ.AX (ASX); ANZ.NZ (NZX)

Further Information:

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Banks doing quite nicely, thanks to you

Wednesday, February 11th, 2009

Retail customers are propping up the profits of the big four banks, according to The Age.

CBA has reported a 9% rise in first half profit, due mainly to retail banking offsetting declines in business banking and a jump in bad debt charges.

Among the key figures:

  • deposit growth of 22%
  • 34% increase in income from home loans

This has led the paper to describe a lively scene of bank chiefs feasting on their retail customers while sending parcels of caviar and truffles to the likes of Fast Eddy .

Click here to read the full article.

 

Stocks for your watchlist:

  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia: CBA (ASX)
  • Westpac: WBC (ASX); WBK (NYSE)
  • National Australia Bank: NAB (ASX)
  • ANZ Banking Group: ANZ (ASX)

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Wednesday 19th November 2008 Cube Morning Wrap

Wednesday, November 19th, 2008

Presented by Michael Hevern
Cubefinancial

Click here to watch the presentation.

or

Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1200Kb).

Transcription below:

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Good morning and welcome to Cube Wrap for Wednesday, 19th of November.  I am Michael Hevern for Cube Financial.

The information provided within this presentation is general advice only and you should consult services of a financial professional in order to ascertain whether the information is applicable to your investment strategies and risk profile.  Again, this is general advice only.

Well, the DOW maintains a recovery later in the session today. Autos weighed on the market and they are still continuing concerns about and ability and volatility in the market and the fact that volumes are continuing to be live at the moment.  The Senates Congress trying to get that result as to allocations of money there and that is taking longer than some investors are initially.  We can see that we still have records through the downtrend line there, but we see it is close abut that.  It will run up to the top of the larger band there, up around there at the 9.5 sales remarkable for the DOW.

The S&P500 was also up 1% on the session.  We saw tertiary secretary, Paulson, say that it was unrealistic to expect that the top 700 billion dollar program with US Steel and immediately reversed the economy in the US and it will take time to resolve that.  The Fed also came out and defended that decision the 700 billion dollar mark saying that they did manage to visibly stabilize constraint credit markets going forward.  Home Builders Confidentially slicked as the National Association Home Builders November index for the first home is I think new home sales tumbled tonight from previous forte in October.  So Home Builders were weighing on the market as a result of that.  It is an indication of the fine economy reports.

We see the NASDAQ recovered somewhat, it is still close down on the session, but HP figures did level estimates and were expecting and 0.5 cut in the rate on this month’s meeting.  So, the market was starting to affect that as well.  In the UK, we saw the market up 1.8% on the session.  We will manage to take up as result of former crude prices.  We saw BP, Shell, and BG group up between 4% and 4.1%.  Also, we saw the banks weigh with HBOS and Lloyds down 15% and 12% respectively.  Barclays was down 3% and the big miners were mixed with Xtrata down 9% on the session.  However, Gustav gained 9% on the session. I’ll go through the ADRs shortly the French CAC was up 1.1% while the German DAX also added 0.5%.  However, the banks did weigh over there as well, BNP Paribas was down 5% and Fortis also slipped 12% on the session.

Elsewhere, in Asia we saw that the markets there weighed down to closer 2.3% down, HBOS suffered, but there was bargain hunters which helps both market there.  It still has not crossed below that weekly, so we can manage to close above the recent highs.  Some bank with a big stock in the news there down 15% after they were reporting Japans number 3 wireless carriers was facing risks of up to 718 billion dollars for financial derivatives losses.  Other banks also weighed, Mitsubishi was down 7% on the session, and Mizuho was also down 4% and Mitsui down 4% on the session.  So, the greater companies were mixed with Mazda up 6.4% after 4% after Ford said they were likely to sell their stake in the company going forward.  This was also upgraded for a change.  The Goldman Sachs upgraded the trading House to determine a call to advise form mutual, it did rise to 3% on the session.

Elsewhere in Asia, we saw Hong Kong close 4.5% while in China it was close 6% low.  In the commodities market, we see that oil hurdled around at 55 to 54 marks as the news broker that there is a tanker being held hostage and they’re trying to negotiate that at the moment.  We see that gold price fell as well and struck the US dollar.  It was down about 9 dollars on the session.

Elsewhere in commodities, we saw that silver was up 2%, copper up 2.5%, lead up 2.5%, zinc up 5%, aluminum up 1.4%, and nickel up 1% on the session.  Hope the big miners fall today.  We are seeing that our market is testing that downtrend line.  We do have the expiration of the short selling there for non-financial for 200 companies you can go to the ASX website to see that full list.

The SPI was actually up 14 points overnight.  We see that that they have will continue to try and see Coca Cola; actually it is a good thing for their business going forward. Banks are in focus at the moment.  They are down among the 30% over the last couple of weeks and might be time to start look for self funded investments which is where dividends will make the most remain. It has already raised 3 billion dollars. NAB has already raided 3 million dollars, but this rumors that Westpac are still to raise more money there.  Stocks like CSR did go for that capital raising.  Macquarie Bank we say just today the commodity was going forward in 2009.

The gold price down 60%, iron ore markets down 20%, and other metal prices down 40%.  So Macquarie Bank announced its profit yesterday was down 43% that was close up to 16% and Cisco up 30% at one stage.  So the market obviously took that news well with the prices there and the report was obviously better than expected.  Remember that Telstra futures run overhead will be available to come out to the market of 20th of November.

ASX is flat and initially the short selling ban is to be removed today so that will be a great thing for the market. We see that BHP and Rio were down slightly 1% in the US.  NAB and ANZ were up 2.7% and ANZ down 0.5%.  The oil stocks with the big movers with Chevron up 3.7% and Exxon up 4%.  The gold stock index was down 1% while the oil stocks index down 3.5% so the energy stocks will be up today.  We also saw NASDAQ and saw some bargain hunting today and the market running as well with Apple, Microsoft and Cisco all up around 2% on the session.

Should you have any questions about the information provided within this presentation, please call the equities options desk or the CFD advising desk on the numbers provided, and as always trade carefully.

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Thursday 13th November 2008 Cube Morning Wrap

Thursday, November 13th, 2008

Presented by Michael Hevern
Cubefinacial

Click here to watch the presentation.

or

Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1193Kb).

Transcription below:

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ING group down 4% after the Dutch banking reported first quarter, its first ever quarter it’s first ever quarterly loss.  It took a 1.5 billion dollar right down for this quarter more warned that its earnings will be under pressure in going forward.

We also saw that insurers were sold off with Swiss Life down 20% and Nartissis down 13.5%, BNP Paribas was also down 5% on the session.

In Asia, we see that market was also down only 1.3% and we expected it to be more today following the US lead.  Exporters weigh, but the Yen is the strongest sold against all currencies at the moment and that is impacting the exporters in Asia or in Japan.  We see Canon and Honda down around about 4% and the banks Mitsubishi down 8% and Mitsui down 4.5%.

Elsewhere in Asia, we see Hong Kong shares closed low at 0.2% and the Chinese shares closed up 0.8% on the session.

In the commodities market, we see further pressure on the oil price rising around about 56 dollar, down around about 3 dollars 50 on the session that is on the back off weakening global demand and it is yet to 21 month lows and 50 dollar mark since quite achievable at this stage.  We see that in gold even though the US dollar was weak.  We see gold price was actually pullback as well, closed down to just 14 dollars and 718 dollars.

Elsewhere in the commodities market, we see most of those were down as well, we see silver down 3%, copper down 0.5%, lead up 1.5%, and zinc up 4.5% with aluminum and nickel both down 1% and 1.8% respectively.

In our market, we look set to test those recent lows of October that was also going aside with Bollinger Band there.  The SPI was down 185 points overnight and we are looking to test lows of the 4 year lows again at this stage.  In out market, not much green yesterday, but one highlight was the general trust is a stock to be recommended up over 35% at one stage, Stocklands have said that they are going to go ahead and take in a 30% stake in the company at 1 dollar 7 and that is a far cry from the 3 dollar 7 the day where pricing just end for double the stage backing in 2004.

Asiana came back on the board after trading held up 67% after they brushed off the concerns about their debt financing and the market obviously accepted that as well.

We see that the Westpac and St. George merger is likely to see a shedding in jobs there.  Generally it is said that there would be shedding probably across the board with all the banks and financial services and industries that the merger could see shedding it up to 2000 jobs going forward.

Banks are likely to be down today.  Commodities, energies, and minerals are likely to weigh as well and out markets likely to open lower.  The good news from the US and we have highlighted ADRs not a pretty high though.  We see BHP and RIO down around that 11%.  The banks down, NAB down 4% and ADRs down 6%.  Energy stocks down as well with Exxon and Chevron down 5% and 8% respectively.

The gold stocks index was down 10.5% and the oil stocks index was down 8% on the session.  In the NASDAQ market, we see Apple, Microsoft, and Cisco all down over 4% on the session.

Should you have any questions about the information provided within this presentation, please call the equities and options desk or the CFD advisory desk on the numbers provided, and as always trade carefully.

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