Posts Tagged ‘share market’

  • Tuesday 7th April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, April 7th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1185Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 0.5% – Below 8000
    Mayo: [bank]loan losses [to]…exceed the Great Depression
    Financials Drag On Markets;

    NASDAQ: down 0.9%
    IBM may Shelve $US7bn SUN Deal;
    Profit Taking Ahead of Earnings

    FTSE: down 0.9% – Below 4000
    UK Companies Most Profit Warnings Since 2001
    DAX down 0.8% & CAC down 1%

    NIKKEI: up 0.3%
    Japan s Stimulus $A139bn (2% of GDP)
    Hang Seng up 3.1%

    Oil: up 0.6% – At $51
    Momentum Slowing

    Gold: down 2.6% ($871)
    Commodities Lower;
    USD Lower

    SPI down 21 (-0.6%);
    SPI: Critical Levels: 3800 & 3600

    ASX News
    * SEV eyeing FXJ “once in a life time”
    * RIO Plan B $US8bn capital raising
    * MQG launches Indian Infrastructure Fund
    * IAG raises $84m
    * RBA Decision this today
    * Energy & Golds to weigh
    * Financials & Materials to weigh
    * ASX to open lower US Lower on Financials

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    Wednesday 1st April 2009 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 1st, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (307Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 1.2% – Resistance!
    Financials Recover;
    Quarterly End Window Dressing

    NASDAQ: up 1.8%
    Momentum Slowing;

    FTSE: up 4.3% – Down 11% for Qtr
    Miners and Financials Weigh;
    DAX down 1.4% & CAC up 3.2%

    NIKKEI: down 1.5%- Most in 2 Months
    Jobless Rate Jumps (3yr high); Wages Fall
    Hang Seng up 0.9%

    Oil: up 0.9% – At $49
    US Weakening Demand

    Gold: up 0.9% ($919)
    Commodities Higher;
    USD Lower

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3540 & 3440
    SPI up 26 (+0.7%);
    ASX200 Expected Flat

    ASX News
    * OZL Minmetals to offer ~$1.6bn to $2bn
    * FMG Chinese $645m Valin deal passes step 1 (Fed Gov t)
    * MQG cuts bonuses, plus MCG sale (gives~$1bn)
    * BHP Alcoa acquisition?
    * Energy & Gold to weigh
    * Materials to recover
    * Financials to support
    * ABS Feb Retails Sales & Building Approvals
    * ASX to open higher US up end-of-Qtr

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    Tuesday 24th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, March 24th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (908Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 6.8% – Breakout?
    Fed Spending $1 Trillion on Toxic Assets;
    S&P500 biggest 10 day move since 1938

    NASDAQ: up 6.7%
    Still Outperforms
    FTSE: up 2.8% – Breakout?
    Financials Lead;
    DAX up 3.6% & CAC up 2.6%

    NIKKEI: up 3.4%
    Economy Needs 1 Trillion Yen Injection;
    Hang Seng up 4.8%

    Oil: up 3.3% – Above $53
    PPIPs $1T to Stimulate
    World economies

    Gold: down 1.5% ($937)
    Commodities Up
    USD down

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3640 & 3440
    SPI up 88;
    ASX200 Above Resistance

    ASX News
    * Resources to run look to big miners
    * Look to Golds to pullback
    * Energy to lead
    * Financials to continue
    * ASX to open up US $1T – Fed (PPIP) Public Private Investment Program

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    Wednesday 25th February 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, February 25th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1267Kb).

    ***************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    DOW: up 3.3%
    Short Cover Rally off 12 Year Lows;
    Ben says : No to Bank Nationalisation

    NASDAQ: up 3.9%
    Microsoft down 0.2%;
    Cisco & Apple up +4%

    FTSE: down 0.9% (down 41% YTD)
    S&P to Review EU Insurers;
    DAX down 2% & CAC down 0.7%

    NIKKEI: down 1.5% – Below 7900
    Yen Weakens;
    Hang Seng down 2.8%

    Oil: up 4% – At $40
    Economies
    & Oil Price Linked

    Commodities Up;
    USD Lower
    Gold: down 2.9% ($966)

    SPI up 70;
    Bouncing off November Lows
    SPI: Critical Levels 3420 & 3220

    ASX News

    • VBA Soars despite booking $101m loss
    • SUN 1H09 EPS down 33%;
    • FMG China s Valin Steel to buy $776m (16.5% stake)
    • WPL Gas discovery in Carnavon Basin
    • OSH increased profits (up 70%) & exploration cuts to save
    • ALL 1H09 profit down 59%
    • ASX to open sharply higher US bounces off 12 year lows

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    What s the latest with the miners?

    Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

    Rio Chinalco

    • As Rio s board of directors discusses the Chinalco alliance, only one Australian voice remains. Rod Eddington has chosen to stand aside from voting on this issue, due to a perceived conflict of interest.
    • Shares were sold off yesterday, following concern that shareholder backlash could lead to a shakeup of board and management positions, according to a report in the Herald Sun.
    • Rio is thought to be working on an arrangement to allow institutional investors access to bonds on similar terms to those offered to Chinalco, in an effort to appease the dissenting shareholders.

    Fortescue Metals

    • Trading has been halted while the company seeks to raise $500 million to fund the expansion of operations at its Pilbara iron ore mine. Investment is expected to come from institutional investors and Chinese steel group Hunan Valin.

    OZ Minerals

    • OZ has met the first of two conditions required for Minmetals to proceed with its takeover bid. The second condition, an agreement by OZ s banks to a debt facility extension, is expected to be met by Friday.
    • Unconfirmed rumours suggest OZ is planning to sell its Martabe gold project in Indonesia, and that BHP Billiton may bid for the Prominent Hill mine.

    Further information:

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    OZ Minerals takeover what will the government be looking at?

    Tuesday, February 17th, 2009

    Chinese state-owned Minmetals has announced a $2.6 billion takeover offer for OZ Minerals.

    Like the BHP Chinalco deal, this will require federal government approval, so what are the considerations under review?

    • Unlike the Rio deal, this would be a full takeover
    • OZ is presenting the deal as a lifeline, and the only feasible alternative to receivership and the resulting implications for jobs, shareholder losses and growth projects
    • The strategic importance of copper and zinc to Australia, arguably less important than the iron-ore Rio hopes to sell off
    • The merits of the deal itself are complicated by external economic conditions
    • National interest must be balanced with potential for a long-term strategic partnership with China

    Traders and investors can again join in the action with OZ resuming trading today, after a halt called in November. Shares jumped up 29% this morning.

    For your watchlist:

    • OZ Minerals: OZL (ASX)

    Further information:

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    Fosters to split beer and wine

    Tuesday, February 17th, 2009

    There may be some confusion in the market as to Fosters plans for its wine business.

    Following poor results from its wine arm, Foster s plans sell off 36 non-core vineyards, however it will retain a wine portfolio in a reshaped business separate from the beer, cider and spirits divisions.

    It expects the restructure will generate a net $100 million a year in cost savings in fiscal 2011.

    Fosters shares rose 2.7% in early trading today.

    For your watchlist:

    • Foster s Group: FGL (ASX)

    Further information:

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    Tuesday 17th February 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, February 17th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (913Kb).

    **************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices
    US markets closed for President s holiday

    S&P 500 Futures down 1.3%

    MSCI World Index down 9.7% YTD

    G7 meeting outcome: bailout packages will not prevent severe economic decline in 2009

    FTSE down 1.3%

    • GDP figures revised to double the expected fall
    • UK insurers: Legal & General cut its dividend; UK Prudential down 8% and Lloyds down 8.1%

    NIKKEI down 1%

    • below the critical 7900 level
    • exporters weigh on strong Yen
    • reversed 2-day fall on Euro and US Dollar
    • GDP annualised 12.7% decline

    Commodities
    Oil down 0.6% ($37)

    • below key $40 level
    • profit taking

    Gold down 0.3% ($941)
    Silver, aluminium, lead, copper, and zinc all down

    • volumes lighter due to US holiday

    Local Index
    SPI up 2

    • continued focus on reporting

    ASX News
    Oz Minerals: bid from Minmetals in China
    Fosters: to split beer and wine businesses
    Annual results: WPL, ILU, LGL,CTX, and NCM
    Wesfarmers: 1H profits up 46%
    Brambles: profits down 28%
    RBA: minutes today
    Pan Australia: read this morning s Hot Goss for commentary
    ASX likely to open weaker today, no lead from the US

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    RIO investors concerned

    Monday, February 16th, 2009

    Rio Tinto s $30 billion deal with Chinalco has angered some shareholders and institutional investors.

    Legal & General, a British based institutional investor and Rio s second largest shareholder is leading the opposition.

    Among the concerns:

    • The deal overrides the pre-emption principle, which would give existing shareholders the first option to buy new shares
    • Rio has agreed to sell assets and shares at a low price, in order to secure the deal
    • Chinalco might use its new influence to provide China with cheaper supplies of raw materials

    Some Rio Tinto shareholders are urging BHP to launch a second takeover bid for Rio, and institutional investors are promising to provide the finance in an effort to foil Rio s Chinalco deal.

    Stocks for your watchlist:

    • BHP Billiton: BHP (ASX, New York Stock Exchange); BLT (London Stock Exchange)
    • Rio Tinto: RIO (ASX, London Stock Exchange); RTP (New York Stock Exchange)

    Further Information:

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    Vodafone and Hutchison merge to challenge telco market

    Tuesday, February 10th, 2009

    Vodafone Australia and Hutchison 3 are set to merge, creating Australia s third-largest mobile operator.

    The new competitor, to be called VHA Australia, will be a stronger challenger to Optus, currently the second-largest operator behind Telstra.

    Products and services will be marketed under the Vodafone brand, will have around 6 million customers and revenue of around $4 billion.

    Hutchison s Chief Executive has signalled the merger requires synergies which will result in an unspecified number of job losses and potentially store closures.

    However, an article in today s Sydney Morning Herald suggests the cost cutting advantages of the merger may be compromised by a tangle of network sharing arrangements between Vodafone, Hutchison, Optus and Telstra.

    Stocks for your watchlist:

    • Hutchison Telecommunications: HTA (ASX)
    • Telstra: TLS (ASX)
    • Singapore Telecommunications: SGT (ASX); STEL (SGX)

    Further info:

     

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