Posts Tagged ‘ORG’

Short Selling Strategy with a Hedge: Part 14 of Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments

Friday, April 19th, 2013

Options afford traders the opportunity to achieve their objectives and/or trades in the market in ways that might not otherwise be available able to them, while limiting risks, particularly in volatile markets.

Today we’ll discuss a situation in which an investor is bearish on a particular stock or index, but wants to hedge their short position. One of their choices is to sell short shares of the stock. While this is a perfectly viable investment alternative, it does have some negatives including the fairly sizable capital requirements (and commissions). Then there is technically unlimited risk, with no limit to how far the stock price could rise after the investor sold short the shares, e.g. in the case of a surprise takeover bid. To hedge the risk of being stopped out in the near-term, buy a call option above the market.

Also see A Limited Risk Short Selling Strategy.

Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy – is designed to allow the trader to short sell a stock with limited risk.

The ability to short stocks in a highly volatile market with limited risk – sounds too good to be true! However that is precisely why traders use the Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy, as it is an options trading strategy that is designed to allow the trader to take a short position in a stock, while limiting the risk. The payoff for the limited risk is limited profit potential, as we will discuss below.

The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy can be used to profit when a share price falls. The strategy is as an alternative to shorting a stock and is achieved through the purchase a put option and simultaneously selling the same number of put options with the same expiry date at a lower strike price, while hedging with an out of the money call. The maximum profit to be gained using this strategy is equal to the difference between the two strike prices (and any money made on the call options), minus the net cost of the options spread and calls.

Buying the put gives the buyer the option, but not the obligation, to sell short 100 shares of the underlying stock at a specific price – known as the strike price – up until a specific date in the future (known as the expiration date). To purchase a put option, the investor pays a premium to the option seller. This is the entire amount of risk associated with this trade!

The bottom line is that the buyer of a put option has limited risk and essentially unlimited profit potential (profit potential is limited only by the fact that a stock can only go to zero). The position is hedged by buying the out of the money calls to benefit if the stock surges in the near-term, prior to its sell-off. Note this does add to the cost of the trade.

However despite these advantages, buying a put option is not always the best alternative for a bearish trader, particularly in days of hyper volatility which leads to higher premiums and more costly options. That is why the trader then simultaneously sells the same number of put options with the same expiry date at a lower strike price. This reduces the cost of the trade to the difference between the option premiums, but also limits the profit to the difference in the strike prices of the bought and sold puts, less the premium initially received. The position is hedged by buying the out of the money calls.

Advantages and Disadvantages

The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy has its advantages as it can lower your break even price by reducing the cost of the position and limiting the risk if the stock price surges higher for some reason, e.g. in the case of a takeover bid. However it has the disadvantage of cutting profits to the difference in the strike prices of the bought and sold puts, less the premium initially paid. The position is hedged by buying the out of the money calls to benefit if the stock surges in the near-term, however this does add to the cost of the trade.

Sample Trade – Origin (ORG)

Origin Energy (ORG) is an Australasian integrated energy company focusing on energy markets in Australia and New Zealand. ORG had been in a steady uptrend for the last month as it has risen from $10 to $13 and we were of the view that the $13 – $13.20 area would offer resistance as it had done for the past 12 months. It had been unable to close above $13, suggesting a loss in momentum near-term.

The current uptrend in ORG has been relatively steady without many dips so even if ORG were to retrace we expected it to head down towards $12.25. So with a strong resistance area just above the current price of ORG we suggested a short position with a hedge to profit if ORG surged through the near-term resistance level.

Using options you can enter into a hedged PUT spread. BUY the APR13 1275/1225 PUT spread for 8c, and hedge the position with a MAR 1325 CALL.

Origin-Energy-Chart_19042013a
Chart 1: Origin Share Price at time of trade entry

The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy for Origin (ORG) was recommended at 15 February 2013 when the April options had 55 days until expiry and ORG shares were trading at $13.03. The trade was established by buying 1 contract of ORG April 1275 PUTs @ 19c and then simultaneously writing (selling) 1 of the out of the money (OTM) put option ORG April 1225 PUTs @ 8.5.

We then purchased the out of the money (OTM) call option ORG March 1325 Calls @ 8.5c. This trade costs 19 cents/contract to place and would achieve a maximum profit of $0.31/contract if the stock sells-off sharply, but we had the added sweetener that we had a hedge on the upside above $13.25 at March expiry. Note cost calculations do not include associated transaction costs. You can plan your trade using IRESS Trader.

The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy Payoff

For maximum profit we wanted Origin to surge if it broke through its overhead resistance, and then sell off after March expiry. The payoff diagram is a little complicated, see below.

20130419_Short_Selling_Strategy_With_A_Hedge_AEye_13
Payoff diagram at March Expiry. Note there was still another month until April expiry for the PUT Spread.

Trade Note

This Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy worked a treat, with the $13.25 March calls expiring at around 30c/contract, a profit with Origin closing at $13.57 and we still had a “free” Put Spread. This Bear Put Spread trade can now be at close to its maximum profit potential, currently valued at 47c/contract with Origin trading at $11.83 on 19 April.

So for an initial outlay of 19c we were able to profit around 300% on the trade.

20130419_Short_Selling_Strategy_With_A_Hedge_AEye_12Chart 3: The Origin Trade at the close of the trade

The Trade

The Origin trade worked perfectly with the OTM call expiring in the money and the subsequent stock sell-off allowed us to profit from the bear put spread as well. The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy strategy offered a perfect vehicle for trading the Origin stock as it allowed us to avoid being stopped out on the short position when the stock broke above resistance, while still participating in the eventual sell-off.

Conclusion

Options can be used to reduce your risk while still participating in potential profits from a significant move by the underlying stock. We have explained the Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy which allows you to take a short position in a stock with limited risk, however your profits to the downside will be restricted to the level of the short put strike and if the stock surges and breaks overhead resistance in the near-term then your trade can also profit.

The Hedged Bear Put Spread Strategy with a hedge offers an outstanding alternative to selling short stock or buying put options outright when a trader or investor wants to speculate on lower prices, but does not want to commit a great deal of capital to the trade and/or does not necessarily expect a massive decline in price. In either of these cases, the trader may give themselves an advantage by trading a bear put spread with a hedge, rather than simply buying a naked put option.

Utilise the features in the IRESS Trader software to trade plan your options trades for the particular options strategy using your specific trade selection criteria. You will save time and potentially reduce your trading risk.

For more trade ideas and recommendations on how to trade in this market, sign up for a free trial of the  D2MX Daily Trading Report, which provides a daily serving of insightful market analysis and trade recommendations from the D2MX Advisory team, including:

• Trade ideas and strategies
• Dividend enhancement strategies
• Market scans to watch
• International market analysis, and
• Highlights from the S&P/ASX 200

To request an obligation-free trial, call 1300 610 024, email advisory@d2mx.com.au or register online at www.d2mx.com.au.

Michael Hevern
Investment Adviser – D2MX Advisory

See Also:

Options Trading for All Types of Market Environments

Part 1: The Protective Put
Part 2: The Covered Call
Part 3: The Covered Call Collar
Part 4: The Stock Repair Strategy
Part 5: Limited Risk Short Selling Strategy
Part 7: Dividend Capture Covered Call Collar
Part 8: Hedging With a Bear Put Spread
Part 9: The Bull Call Strategy
Part 10: Dividend Capture Covered Call Collar
Part 11: Calendar Call Strategy
Part 12: Bull Call Spread Strategy
Part 13: Reverse Calendar Call Strategy

This report was prepared by Michael Hevern. It represents the views and opinions of the author. It is not intended for use by any third party, without the approval of Michael Hevern. While this report is based on information from sources which are considered reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Any opinions expressed reflect my judgment at this date and are subject to change. Contracting Hevern Pty Ltd is a Corporate Authorised Representative No. 408868 of D2MX Pty Limited ABN 98 113 959 596, AFSL No. 297950 (D2MX), and Michael Hevern has been appointed as an Authorised Representative of Contracting Hevern Pty Ltd. Opinions, conclusions and other information expressed in this report are not given or endorsed by D2MX, unless otherwise indicated. The information contained in this Report is General Advice only, as the information or advice given does not take into account your particular objectives, financial situation or needs.
Disclaimer: Using leverage to invest can be a two edged sword, as it can magnify your returns when the stock price rises, but will in turn magnify the losses if the trade does not perform as expected.

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy Subsidiary Sells Gas Metering Business

Friday, October 26th, 2012

Origin Energy (ORG) subsidiary, Contact announced the sale of its gas metering business to Vector for the sale price of NZ$63M. Completion of the sale is subject to Commerce Commission clearance which is expected to take approximately three months.

Contact’s Chief Executive Dennis Barnes said the sale of the gas metering business was part of an ongoing programme at Contact to focus on its core business. “Since acquiring the meters as part of our acquisition of Enerco in 1999, Contact has moved from solely servicing Contact customers at all of the gas meters to being the gas retailer at approximately 40% of those gas meters. While we are divesting the ownership and servicing of the meters, we still retain access and ownership of the data the meters provide, ensuring that Contact customers should see no change in the high quality service they receive from Contact” he said.

www.originenergy.com.au

 

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Dividends: Origin Energy Ex Dividend On 28/8/2012

Monday, August 27th, 2012

Origin Energy (ORG) will go ex dividend on 28/8/2012.  The current dividend payment is 25 cents and it is 100% franked.  The record date is 3/9/2012 and the dividend will be paid on 27/9/2012.   Based on the full year payment the dividend yield is 4.2%.

*Current Yield: 2.1%    Franking: 100%    DRP Discount: Not Available

*Yield has been calculated on the closing price on the 24/8/2012.  Current yield is based on the current dividend payment only.

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy Acquires Chilean Hydroelectric Electricity Company

Wednesday, April 4th, 2012

Origin Energy Limited (ORG) announced the acquisition of a 51 per cent interest in one of Chile’s leading hydroelectric development companies, Energía Austral, from Xstrata Copper. Energía Austral is currently assessing the feasibility of developing a hydroelectric project of approximately 1,000 MW in the Aysén Region of southern Chile. Once completed, it will comprise up to three hydroelectric plants and a transmission system connecting the project to the nation’s Central Interconnected Grid (SIC). Origin will take the lead role in developing Energia Austral’s hydroelectric project with Xstrata Copper retaining a 49 per cent stake in the company. Under the terms of the agreement, during the next three years Origin will progressively invest project development costs of US$75 million for the completion of a detailed project feasibility study, and, if the project is deemed feasible, an additional US$75 million towards a final investment decision. Xstrata Copper will be entitled to additional payments when the project is operational and only if certain revenue threshold targets are met.

Origin Managing Director, Mr Grant King said, “Energía Austral’s project is situated in an area of reliable rainfall and stable water flows making it ideal for hydroelectric generation, and, in coming years, stands to play an important role in providing the nation with an efficient, flexible and reliable supply of electricity from a renewable resource. “Origin’s investment in Energía Austral is consistent with the company’s pursuit of a portfolio of renewable energy opportunities in markets with attractive growth options. It also complements Origin’s existing footprint in Chile through its 40 per cent interest in the nation’s leading geothermal exploration company, Energía Andina,” Mr King said.

Origin Energy (ORG) is the leading Australian integrated energy company focused on gas and oil exploration and production, power generation and energy retailing. Origin is Australia’s largest energy retailer servicing 4.4 million electricity, natural gas and LPG customer accounts and has one of the country’s largest and most flexible generation portfolios with more than 5,310 MW of capacity, through either owned generation or contracted rights. Origin’s strategic positioning and portfolio of assets provide flexibility, stability and significant opportunities for growth across the energy industry. Established in 1995, Energía Austral is currently developing Chile’s second largest hydro project in the Aysén Region of southern Chile. Energía Austral’s hydro project will comprise up to three hydro plants and a transmission line that will contribute approximately 1,000 MW of electricity to Chile’s Central Interconnected Grid (SIC). The company employs approximately 50 people – including hydrological, environmental and community engagement specialists – and has offices in Santiago, Puerto Aysén and Coyhaique.

www.originenergy.com.au

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy To Build New Electricity Generation Plants

Wednesday, April 4th, 2012

Origin Energy Limited (ORG) announced an agreement with the City of Sydney which will see it lead the development of low-carbon, cost efficient trigeneration precincts across central Sydney, contributing to a cleaner energy supply for Australia’s largest city. Under the terms of the Heads of Agreement, Origin’s wholly owned subsidiary Cogent Energy, will invest $100 million over a 10 year period to build trigeneration precincts in four zones across central Sydney. Trigeneration involves using natural gas-powered engines to generate on-site electricity. It is a highly efficient process, as the waste heat from the engine is captured and re-used to provide heating, or for conversion to chilled water for cooling through an absorption chiller. Using gas as the fuel source offers the potential for a significant reduction in carbon emissions.

Origin General Manager Retail Markets, Mr Jim Galvin said, “Origin is committed to meeting customers’ energy needs today, and investing in the energy solutions for tomorrow. This means finding and developing new energy solutions which can provide Australians with a cleaner, reliable and affordable supply of energy. “Working in partnership with large organisations like the City of Sydney, Origin is actively installing smarter technology including trigeneration systems, which use energy more efficiently, reduce carbon emissions and also deliver economic benefits to customers.

Origin Energy (ORG) is the leading Australian integrated energy company focused on gas and oil exploration and production, power generation and energy retailing. A member of the S&P/ASX 20 index, the company has around 5,600 employees and is a leading producer of gas in eastern Australia. Origin is Australia’s largest energy retailer servicing 4.4 million electricity, natural gas and LPG customer accounts and has one of the country’s largest and most flexible generation portfolios with more than 5,310 MW of capacity, through either owned generation or contracted rights. Origin’s strategic positioning and portfolio of assets provide flexibility, stability and significant opportunities for growth across the energy industry. Through Australia Pacific LNG, its incorporated joint venture with ConocoPhillips and Sinopec, Origin is developing one of Australia’s largest CSG to LNG projects based on Australia’s largest 2P CSG reserves base. In New Zealand, Origin is the major shareholder in Contact Energy, the country’s leading integrated energy company, operating geothermal, thermal and hydro generation facilities and servicing electricity, gas and LPG customers across both the North and South islands. Origin also operates several oil and gas projects in New Zealand and is one of the largest holders of petroleum exploration acreage in the country.

www.originenergy.com.au

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ASX Company News: Contact Energy Acquires Whirinaki Electricity Supply Plant

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011

Origin Energy’s (ORG) subsidiary, Contact Energy has agreed to purchase the 150 Megawatt, diesel fired Whirinaki peaker plant in Hawke’s Bay. The plant was offered for sale in a closed tender process run by the Ministry of Economic Development. Contact will acquire the plant for $33 million and also acquire around four million litres of diesel stored on site. Contact expects to take ownership of the plant and diesel around the end of 2011.

“The plant is a welcome addition to our portfolio, providing enhanced flexibility and fuel security to our existing generation capacity. The plant will also help Contact’s active development of an electricity hedge market in New Zealand and we have the option of moving the plant in the future and refuelling it on natural gas, if market conditions and gas prices make such a move desirable”, said Contact CEO Dennis Barnes. Contact Energy developed the Whirinaki plant and prior to agreeing to acquire the plant, operated it on behalf of the government.

www.originenergy.com.au

http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/org

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy Signs LNG Contract And Sells Stake In Australia Pacific LNG

Tuesday, April 26th, 2011

Australia Pacific LNG Pty Ltd (“Australia Pacific LNG”) and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (“Sinopec”) signed a Sale and Purchase Agreement for the supply of 4.3 million tonnes per annum of LNG for 20 years from Australia Pacific LNG’s world-class coal seam gas resources and proposed LNG facility on Curtis Island, Gladstone in Queensland.

Australia Pacific LNG and Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration & Production Corporation (“SIPC”, a subsidiary 100% owned by Sinopec Group) also signed a Subscription Agreement for SIPC to subscribe for a 15% interest in Australia Pacific LNG thereby reducing ConocoPhillips’ and Origin Energy’s ownership interest to 42.5% respectively.

These agreements reflect the commercial terms outlined in the Heads of Agreement signed between Australia Pacific LNG and Sinopec on 25 February 2011. The agreements are subject to approvals by the Chinese Government and in Australia, the Foreign Investment Review Board and are conditional on Australia Pacific LNG reaching a final investment decision.

Origin Energy Managing Director, Mr Grant King said, “Today marks an important milestone in the development of the Australia Pacific LNG project and represents the largest LNG supply agreement in Australian history by annual volume.  “These agreements are testament to the strength  of the Australia Pacific LNG project, which is based on Australia’s largest coal seam gas reserves and resources together with ConocoPhillips’ proven Cascade© LNG technology that is well-suited to a CSG application,” Mr King said.

ConocoPhillips’ Senior Vice President Exploration and Production, Mr Ryan Lance said, “We welcome Sinopec as an equity partner of Australia Pacific LNG and as a foundation buyer of LNG. “It is through the large amount of ground work and cooperation by all parties that we have been able to move from a Heads of Agreement to binding agreements in such a short period of time. We reaffirm our target of first LNG cargo to be delivered to Sinopec in 2015.  “Australia Pacific LNG continues to be in discussions with other customers that have the potential to secure off-take agreements,” Mr Lance said.

www.originenergy.com.au

http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/org

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy Enters Joint Venture With China Petrochemical

Monday, February 28th, 2011

Australia Pacific LNG Pty Ltd, a subsidiary of Origin Energy (ORG) and China Petrochemical Corporation have signed a Heads of Agreement establishing non-binding key commercial terms for the supply of up to 4.3 million tonnes  per annum of LNG for 20 years and for Sinopec to subscribe for a 15% ownership interest in Australia Pacific LNG, thereby reducing both ConocoPhillips’ and Origin Energy’s ownership interest to 42.5%. Under the Heads of Agreement, Australia Pacific LNG and Sinopec intend to incorporate the agreed upon non-binding key commercial terms into binding agreements in the near future.

Mr Mulva said the Heads of Agreement was an important milestone for Australia Pacific LNG. We look forward to welcoming Sinopec into the Australia Pacific LNG project as an equity partner and foundation buyer of LNG. With the underpinning of Sinopec, a world-class energy company, along with the recent approval of our EIS by the Australian authorities, we now expect to rapidly progress the project to sanction, with the first LNG cargo to be delivered in 2015,” he said. Mr McCann said, “This agreement with Sinopec is testament to the scale and quality of the Australia Pacific LNG project, which is based on world-class coal seam gas reserves and resources in Queensland.”

Australia Pacific LNG Pty Limited is a joint venture between Origin Energy Limited and ConocoPhillips. The Australia Pacific LNG project includes the development of Australia Pacific LNG’s substantial coal seam gas resources in the Surat and Bowen Basins over a 30-year period, a 450 km transmission pipeline, and a multi-train LNG facility on Curtis Island, near Gladstone. ConocoPhillips is an integrated energy company with interests around the world. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, ConocoPhillips operates in more than 30 countries. The company had approximately 29,700 employees worldwide, $156 billion of assets and $189 billion of revenues as of December 31,                 2010. Origin Energy is Australasia’s leading integrated energy company focused on gas and oil exploration and production, power generation and energy retailing. It is a leading producer of gas in eastern Australia, and is the largest owner and developer of gas-fired electricity generation in Australia and is a leading wholesaler and retailer of energy. China Petrochemical Corporation (Sinopec Group) is an energy and chemical company with an integrated business value chain. The company’s major business activities include: exploration, production, storage, transportation and trade of oil and natural gas, oil refining, production, transportation, trade, distribution and sales of refined products as well as production, distribution and trade of petrochemical products.

www.originenergy.com.au

http://www.traderdealer.com.au/Fundamentals/org

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ASX Company News: Origin Energy Acquires NSW Energy Assets

Thursday, December 16th, 2010

Origin Energy Limited today announced it has executed Sale and Purchase Agreements with the NSW Government to acquire the retail businesses of Integral Energy and Country Energy, and enter into GenTrader arrangements with Eraring Energy for a consideration of $3,250 million. In addition, under the GenTrader arrangements, there is a conditional amount of up to $198 million which will be payable. The Acquisition price will be $3,250 million, which is expected to be materially accretive to underlying EPS3 at completion, which will be funded by new debt facilities which are expected to be partly refinanced with a pro-rata equity offering to be conducted within 12 months.

Origin Chairman, Mr Kevin McCann said, “The acquisition is a transformational event in the growth of Origin. “The acquisition of Integral Energy and Country Energy’s retail businesses and the Eraring Energy GenTrader arrangements, secures a leading position for Origin in NSW, the nation’s largest energy market. It also enhances Origin’s position as the leading Australian integrated energy company.  “Following completion of the transaction, Origin will be Australia’s largest energy retailer with 4.6 million customer accounts and will have one of the country’s largest and most diverse generation portfolios with more than 5,800 MW of capacity, through either owned generation or contracted rights.

The acquisition price of $2,300 million for the Integral Energy and Country Energy retail businesses includes the wholesale portfolio and NSW stamp duty. Movements in working capital until the completion date will be adjusted in accordance with the Sale and Purchase Agreements. The combined mass market retail business has been acquired for $1,282 per customer account. The cost of the combined wholesale portfolio is valued at $0.35 per Mwh. Following completion of the transaction, Origin’s total customer base will increase by more than 50 per cent, from 3 million customer accounts to 4.6 million. Origin’s share of electricity and natural gas mass market customer accounts in the National Electricity Market (NEM) region will increase from 20 per cent to 33 per cent.  Combined, Integral Energy and Country Energy have more than 1.6 million electricity customer accounts, 33,000 natural gas customer accounts and 9,000 LPG customer accounts. Origin will acquire the retail businesses of both Integral Energy and Country Energy including customer and supplier contracts, working capital and intellectual property, including brands. The transaction does not include the acquisition of retail legal entities or employees.

Origin Energy is Australia’s leading integrated energy company focused on gas and oil exploration and production, power generation and energy retailing. It is a leading producer of gas in eastern Australia, is the largest owner and developer of gas-fired electricity generation in Australia and is a leading wholesaler and retailer of energy. The company services approximately 3 million electricity, natural gas and LPG customers across Australia. Origin’s strategic positioning and portfolio of assets provide flexibility, stability and significant opportunities for growth in the ever changing energy industry. Through Australia Pacific LNG, its 50:50 incorporated joint venture with ConocoPhillips, Origin is developing one of Australia’s largest CSG to LNG projects based on Australia’s largest CSG reserves base.

www.originenergy.com.au

http://www.traderdealer.com.au/Fundamentals/org

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Dividends: Ex Dividend On 31/8/2010

Monday, August 30th, 2010

Origin Energy (ORG) will go ex dividend on 31/8/2010. The current dividend payment is 25 cents and it is 100% franked. The record date is 6/9/2010 and the dividend will be paid on 28/9/2010. Based on the full year payment the dividend yield is 3.3%.

*Current Yield: 1.6% Franking: 100% DRP Discount: 0%

Origin Energy

*Yield has been calculated on the closing price on the 26/8/2010. Current yield is based on the current dividend payment only.

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