Posts Tagged ‘Oil Stocks’

Stock Market Analysis: European Bank Concerns Dominate Sentiment

Monday, January 9th, 2012

* US stock markets fell on Friday.  Improving US unemployment data, which recorded unemployment at its lowest level since February 2009, was overshadowed by continuing concerns in Europe.
* European stock markets fell Friday. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed flat and was 1.2% higher for the week.
* Asian stock markets declined on Friday, as concern that the European debt crisis was deepening overshadowed improving data out of the US.
* Commodities prices traded mixed, as Gold prices closed around $US1,621 and while crude-oil closed around $US102.

The SPI Futures is trading below the key pivot level of 4180, ending up 0.3% (or 12 points) at 4,092. The key levels for our index this week are 4000 to 4180.

Aussie shares are expected to open flat and traders are expected to stay on the sidelines today, after negative leads from the US and European markets, after the US Non-Farm Payrolls report and continuing problems with EU debt.

See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

US Markets 

US stock markets fell on Friday.  Improving US unemployment data, which recorded unemployment at its lowest level since February 2009, was overshadowed by continuing concerns in Europe.

In the shortened trading week the Dow Jones Index rose 1.2%, while in the broader markets the S&P500 index rose 1.7%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq outperformed up 2.7% for the week.

Labor Department data showed US Nonfarm Payrolls increased by 200,000 in December, (versus forecast of 155,000 new jobs).  The December unemployment rate dropped to 8.5% (down from a revised 8.7%) and is the lowest reading in nearly three years. However investors focused on on developments in Europe over debt and increasing unemployment concerns.

The ten sectors that make up the S&P index traded mixed, with Materials down -0.2%, Energy down -0.6%, Financials down -0.6%, Industrials down -0.2%, Technology up 0.1%, while Consumer Staples rose 0.1%.

The Dow Jones closed down -0.4% (or -55 points) at 12,359, the S&P 500 index was down -0.3% (or -3 points) at 1,277, the Nasdaq ended up 0.2% (or 4 points) at 2,674 and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was up -0.1%.

European Markets

European stock markets fell Friday. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index closed flat and was 1.2% higher for the week.

Investor sentiment was negative, as there was a focus on developments in the bond markets, where the Italian government’s cost of borrowing money for 10 years remained above 7.17%, where costs above the 7% level are seen as unsustainable over the long term.

Elsewhere economic data for the eurozone showed unemployment rising for a seventh consecutive month, while November factory orders in Germany fell nearly -5%, erasing any gains made the previous month.

In London the FTSE 100 index gained 0.5% as Vodafone Group PLC shares climbed 1.2%, after Goldman Sachs upgraded the mobile operator to “Buy” from “Neutral”, saying it sees a potential total return of 55% over the next two years.

The FTSE 100 index closed up 0.5% (or 25 points) at 5,650, the German DAX was down -0.6% (or -38 points) at 6,058 while in France the CAC was down -0.2% (or -8 points) at 3,137. Spain was down -0.5% and Italy ended down -0.8%.

Asian Markets

Asian stock markets declined on Friday, as concerns that the European debt crisis was deepening overshadowed improving data out of the US.

Most markets closed down over -1.1% for the session, as financial stocks continue to be weighed down by concerns over the eurozone debt crisis.  Chinese stocks did advance on Friday as energy producer PetroChina jumped after Beijing raised a threshold of its “windfall” tax, effectively reducing tax payments for oil producers. Banks and resource stocks also rose as bargain hunters stepped in after sharp recent losses.

In China the Shanghai Composite is trading around 34-month lows, which is a major concern for 2012. China has been seen as the engine for global growth and the government is still in the throws of engineering a “soft” landing, which is becoming increasing dificult to orchestrate.

In China the SSE Composite closed up 0.7% (or 15  points) at 2,163, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -1.2% (or -220 points) at 18,593 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index was closed down -1.2% (or  -98 points) at 8,390. The South Korean KOSPI was down -1.1%  for the session.

Commodities

The Dollar Index was higher at 81.25 on a lower Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded lower at 1.02. Commodities prices traded lower.

For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for January delivery was down -0.3% (or -0.25) to settle at $US101.93.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for January delivery was up 0.3% (or 0.9 cents) at $US3.4275.  January gold was down -0.2% (or -$US3.30) at $US1,621.  

ASX News Today

BNO – Bionomics has signed a $345 million deal with US company Ironwood Pharmaceuticals to develop a potential anti-anxiety drug.

SUN – Suncorp Group says it expects natural hazard costs for the last half of 2011 to be in the range of $360-$420 million, as claims from the Christchurch earthquake and Melbourne hailstorm come in.

TPI – Transpacific Industries Group is being sued for more than $4.6 million by its former boss and major investor in relation to the company’s equity raising.

WRG – Water Resources Group, the the water treatment company, surged over 70% after its subsidiary signed a $US95 million deal to supply water in Africa.

Ex-dividend Date

None

Market Summary

ASX – to open lower
US & UK/Europe – lower

Commodities Stock Index  down -0.8%
Gold Stocks Index dow -0.8%
Oil Stocks Index down -0.6% 

US ADRs – Broadly Lower

BHP down -1.3% & RIO down -1.0%; AWC down -2.2%
ANZ down -1.5% & NAB down -2.2%
NEM  down -0.2%, JHX down -2.4%, NWS down -0.6%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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Monday, 24th May 2010 Morning Wrap

Monday, May 24th, 2010

Morning Market Wrap

Bargain Hunters See Value

US Stocks closed higher Friday, led by financial companies up over 4% after the US senate passed a financial overhaul bill, as bargain hunter stepped in.

The SPI Futures is below key level of 4400, the ASX is set to open higher as the SPI closed up 58 points (or 1.3%) at 4,358; US positive lead. Huge volatility in the past few weeks will impact this weeks trading, with key levels this week are 4000 and 4600.

US Markets

US Markets Sees Bargain Hunters (and Short Covering)
Senate Passes Banking Reforms

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.25%, to 10193, but was down 4.0% for the week (off 2.3% YTD), its largest weekly drop since early May when the market dropped in the “flash crash”. The Standard & Poor’s 500 climbed 1.5%, to 1088, but was down 4.2% for the week (off 2.5% YTD). All of the S&P 500′s sectors ended Friday’s session in the green, led by financials. Metals and materials companies, enjoyed a relief rally on Friday as investors stepped back into the most beaten-down commodity-based stocks. The Nasdaq Composite rose 1.1%, to 2229, but was down 5.0% for the week (off 1.8% YTD).

UK markets (FTSE) finished down 0.2% at 5,063 (down 4.0% for the week) and the German DAX finished down 0.7% (down 3.7% for the week). In Europe the concerns over the debt issues eased as they saw a bounce in Miners and Financials. Strength in commodity-based stocks supported markets from further falls.

SP500: up 1.5% at 1,088 (down 4.2% for week)
DOW up 1.3% at 10,193 (down 4.0% for week)
Broadly Higher – Investors Bargain Hunt – Despite Europe Debt Issues
NASDAQ: up 1.1% at 2,229 (down 5.2% for week)

Dollar Index: Euro Recovers from 4-year Lows
A$ up 82.32 (recovers from 10-month Lows)

FTSE: down 0.2% at 5,063 – Financials & Miners Bonuce (down 4.0% for week)
DAX down 0.7% – Europe Runs Scared (down 3.7% for week)
Markets Sell-off over Debt has unveiled Value

CHINA: up 1.1% at 2,583 – (down 4.4% for week)
HSI down 0.2% (down 3.3% for week)

Oil: down 1.1% a ($70.55) (down 1.6% for week)
Recovers from 3-Week 25% Sell-off and focus still on spread of oil spill in Gulf of Mexico

Gold: down 1.0% at ($1,177) (down 4.2% for week)
Commodities Recover;

SPI: Below Key 4400 ASX
SPI up 58 (1.3%) at 4358 (down 4.1% for week)

ASX News

The SPI Futures is below key level of 4400 the ASX is set to open lower as the SPI closed up 58 points (or 1.3%) at 4,358; U.S. posoitive lead.

Huge volatility in the past few weeks, key levels this week are 4000 and 4600.

AUD – bounces off to 10 months lows as investors start to see sell off as over extented near term.

ANZ – The Fitch Ratings Agency has upgraded ANZ’s credit rating to AA- positive (from stable) citing improved earnings and potential diversifiction through its Asian expansion as improving its financial profile.

BHP – The Big Miner says the proposed tax on resource super profits (RSPT) should be leived on the value of minerals alone and vary commodity by commodity.

BRM – Iron ore explorer Brockman Resources is in a trading halt pending an announcement regarding market speculation over
arrangements with Chinese steel giant Sinosteel.

HSP – has sweetened bid from $5.50 to $5.75/share. Shares closed at $5.24.

ILU – Joins chorus on Henry Tax. Tax is unfair citing compliance cost s burdens and the fact that to ILU sharholders who have forgone $650million in dividends in the past 3 years,
and now that operations are about to become profitable they wuill be hit by the resources tax.

SHL – likely to sell-off as it says FY10 result will fall short due to government’s cut to Medicare fees for pathology services

SIP – SIGMA was up 37% after it has a takeover offer, valuing the company at about $707 million.

PSA – PETSEC ENERGY LTD intends to grow its current reserves significantly during the next three years, by exploring
and developing its China oil fields.

RIO – will achieve almost double the price for its iron ore after securing a price agreement with major Asian steel mills except those in China.

Market volatility will continue near termas world investors come to terms with the ramifications of the credit squeeze and new regulatory regimes, but investors are starting to do some bargain hunting.

We think the trading strategy is to get small, reduce you exposure to equities, start to look for value. Be aware of short covering rallies.

ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – US Recovers

US ADRs – Broadly Higher!!!…

BHP up 5.8% & RIO up 6.6%; AWC up 6.9%
ANZ up 8.9% & NAB up 5.2%
NEM up 0.5%, JHX up 1.%, NWS up 2.0%

Commodities Stock Index up 1.9%
Gold Stocks Index up 0.2%
Oil Stocks Index up 1.4%

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

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