Posts Tagged ‘investing’

Trading Book Review: Investing with Volume Analysis

Friday, September 30th, 2011

Investing With Volume Analysis

Author: Buff Pelz Dormeier
RRP $49.95 Trader Dealer price $39.95

For all those traders who use volume as a tool in their trading analysis, then this is a must.

Clearly written by an expert in the field, this book looks at the basics of volume analysis and the pure volume indicators. It quickly moves into some more sophisticated aspects of volume analysis, including oscillators and indicators that are specifically relevant to volume analysis in patterns and trends.

Short term traders are not forgotten as Buff explains intraday volume accumulation oscillators.

Volume is a necessary tool in determining investors’ or traders conviction about prices and this book explains how to interpret these signals to recognise upcoming price reversals.

I was particularly pleased to read the chapter on the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator, because as with all traders using whatever system they have developed, confirmation is necessary before taking a position.

It is also pleasing to see the chapter on risk, because even though the reader may have read it all before, it reconfirms and highlights just how important this is.

The book finishes off with a chapter on modern day volume – yes things can and do change and it is great to see these changes noted.

This book gets my tick of approval.

Buy this book now at the Educated Investor bookshop website

Janene Murdoch
Educated Investor Bookshop

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Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy

Tuesday, June 23rd, 2009

Strategy Overview

Bollinger Bands were created by John Bollinger in the late 1980s to provide a reference for high and low points based on volatility.

The centre line of the bands is typically a 20 day simple moving average of the price showing the intermediate trend. The two bands are then plotted around this centre line by adding (top band) or subtracting (lower band) the standard deviation from the average. They are usually plotted as 2 standard deviations from the centre line.

Click here to download the PDF guide.

By Jeff Cartridge,
Education Manager

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Trading Strategies – End of Financial Year Strategies

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

Well another financial year is rapidly approaching an end. There are a variety of stock market strategies to consider around this time of year that can have a financial benefit, tax benefit or both!

Tis the Season to Get Your Financial Affairs In Order

So what typically does June hold in store for the stock market investor?

One of the first things to consider is the seasonal impacts at this time of the year. Does the market typically rally into June or does it fall? Based on the chart below that shows the seasonal pattern for the All Ordinaries index over 26 years, June is typically a down month.

trading strategies

Strength in April and May gives way to weakness during June. In fact the market drops an average of 1.15% between the 6th June and 16th June with a probability of 77% that the market will be lower and the weakness continues right up to the end of June. That means that almost 8 out of every 10 years the market falls during June. It does not mean that this year the market will be lower, but the historical patterns certainly favour the downside. For the bulls things improve from early July onwards.

Trading strategies 2

Protect Your Portfolio with a Hedge

If you are concerned about a fall in the value of your portfolio you can put in place a hedge. A hedge increases in value during a market fall which can offset any loss in your original portfolio. You can do this using options, warrants or CFDs. To protect your position you enter a position using options or CFDs that will increase in value if the market was to fall. This can be done by short selling CFDs or buying put options or warrants. Your portfolio will still drop in value if the market falls, but your hedge position will increase in value, offsetting the loss in your main portfolio. Rather than hedging every single share you own, it is usually easier to hedge on the underlying index. This involves selling the index with a CFD or using put options or warrants for downside protection. The purpose of this strategy is not to make money it is to minimise the impact of losses in your portfolio during a falling market.

Interesting Times

One possible explanation for the drop at this time of year could be selling by investors, associated with raising funds to prepay interest on margin loans or other investments. By prepaying a year’s interest the investor is able to claim the full tax deduction in this financial year. If you have a large tax bill coming up then this is one strategy that allows you to offset some of the tax and instead grow your investment portfolio using a margin loan or similar investment. In a similar way you can prepay your software and data fees for a year at MDS Financial and claim a tax deduction in this financial year.

By Jeff Cartridge
Education Manager

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Warren Buffet: the full story

Tuesday, May 5th, 2009

The Snowball
Author: Alice Schroeder

Book Review


The snowball just happens if you’re in the right kind of snow, and that’s what happened with me. I don’t just mean compounding money either. It’s in terms of understanding the world and what kind of friends you accumulate. You get to select over time, and you’ve got to be the kind of person that the snow wants to attach itself to. You’ve got to be your own wet snow, in effect. You’d better be picking up snow as you go along, because you’re not going to be getting back up to the top of the hill again. That’s the way life works.” – Warren Buffett

The Snowball is the first biography of the world’s richest man, Warren Buffett, written with his full cooperation and collaboration. When Alice Schroeder met Buffett she was an insurance industry analyst and a gifted writer known for her keen perception and business insight. Schroeder tried to convince Buffett to write an autobiography, he ended up convincing her to write this book. You ll do a better job than I would, Alice .

Warren Buffett started on the road to wealth at the tender age of 6, selling chewing gum. He then moved on to stamp collecting and declared at age 11 that he would be a millionaire by the age of 35. He achieved that goal by 30. Buffett in his teen years, less than excelled at school and was drawn to petty crime. Buffett s father a highly principled Congressman obviously influenced Buffett and turned his life back on the right track, to become the man that he is today. Through his life Buffett has campaigned for the rights of Jews and African Americans and most recently committed his wealth to charity, mostly to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, dedicated to curing problems like malaria & Aids in poorer parts of the world.

The book gives an account of Buffett s adulation for his father and his strained relationship with his mother Leila, who showed little love or warmth to her son. This may be the underlying reason for Buffett s desire for kindness from women, who often slotted into a motherly role. The frankness in Schroeder s description of some of these encounters demonstrates the level of access that Buffett allowed her.

Much of the fascination is in the ordinariness of such a supposedly extraordinary man. He allows Schroeder unprecedented access to his thoughts and neuroses, as well as people and events within his personal life. His love of burgers, fries and cherry coke are only some of the elements of his life that fans of Buffett find so endearing.

An excerpt within the book discusses one instance where he took his children on a flight to Sun Valley on his private jet. He drove himself to the airport and carried his own bags on board and would have thought very little of doing so. Yet new staff members who witness this were amazed.

Of specific interest to many readers is the openness of which the levels of his financial successes are discussed. For students of business and investment, the book details clearly the growth of his business knowledge early on and the success of his many investment partnerships. However it does not shy away from describing the problems he experienced in owning Berkshire Hathaway and other businesses that later rolled in to create the present Berkshire. The book acknowledges the important collaborative role Buffett had with other investment managers, as well as the earlier flaws in judgement.

In 1994 Buffett was thought of as a technophobe, however he was already in the process of pushing internet related changes within Berkshire s auto-insurance subsidiary GEICO, stating:

He, who wins the internet, wins the war.

On reflection of her notes in 2003, Schroeder recalls a warning given to her by Buffett of the major bank failures that would be to come. Put simply, the good banks will get pulled down by the bad banks. Given that the book continues up to the collapse of Bearn Sterns in March 2008, this shows remarkable insight, and offers Buffett s thoughts on the current credit crisis.

The Snowball provides a comprehensive, richly detailed insight into one of the world’s most extraordinary and much loved public figures. It leaves you with the sense and motivation that anything is possible.

To buy it now at the Educated Investor Bookshop, click here.

Review by Janene

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Money Flow Index Strategy

Thursday, April 23rd, 2009

The Money Flow Index can be used as the basis of a successful trading strategy.

Trading Strategy Overview:

The Money Flow Index includes both price and volume in its calculation. If the average price for the day is higher than yesterday then the Money Flow is positive and added to the indicator, while if the average price is lower than yesterday the Money Flow is negative and subtracted from the indicator.

The exact calculation of the Money Flow Index is very similar to the calculation of the relative Strength Index (RSI) with volume included. The Money Flow Index will fluctuate between 0 and 100, but will never reach the extreme levels.

Click here to download the PDF.

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Message from the Chief – April 2009

Wednesday, April 15th, 2009

Research Report: a new look
Last month I mentioned the great results our Research report has been delivering well the stock pickers have continued their great work and now the developers have stepped in as well and greatly improved the overall presentation of the site.

If you are a subscriber, log in, have a look, and let us know what you think. Or if you haven t yet tried out the Research report, click here to find out more about it, and sign up for a 14-day free trial.

Trader Dealer executes more than $160 million in equity trades in the last 6 weeks
Trader Dealer has executed more than $160 million in trades over the last 6 weeks and well over a billion dollars since we commenced operating as Trader Dealer Online.

Trader Dealer has been in the MDS Financial stable for the last 8 months and during this time we have been making great strides in improving the services available to our clients. A large number of clients are now executing trades through the Market Analyser platform, and taking advantage of the phone trading services.

When you add these results to our growing option trading volumes we are humbled to think that our niche broking business built for retail traders has grown at such a rate, and the feedback from our customers has been fantastic. Thank you for you support!

You can check out the great rates on offer at TDO by clicking here.

What would I do with $900 bucks?
We had an interesting discussion in the office last week, tossing around ideas about what we were all going to do with the $900 government bonus, when one of the guys said that they had been watching an ABC program about the carefully planned terminology the government has been using. It seems that research had indicated that the term bonus payment encourages us to spend, whereas tax reimbursement which is effectively what this payment is makes us save.

I then thought about a proverb my grandfather used to use: you can give a man a fish and he will eat for a day or you can teach a man to fish and he will eat for a lifetime.

We were talking about the new DVD players, plasma TVs and push bikes we were all going to buy, and which all seemed like great idea at the time. However as I sat down to write this, my monthly take on the market, I began thinking about better ways an individual could use their $900.

It really does depend on where you are in your life, however here are my top three ways I would use the bonus, and why:

1. Repay credit card debt
With the Reserve Bank reducing the interest rate, and the credit card companies snubbing their customers, this is the first place I would put my $900.

One of our customers recently told me about his way of getting back at the greedy credit card providers. He used his redraw facility on his mortgage, which he was being charged about 7% to use, and used those funds to repay his credit card debt, which was at 18% and most importantly CANCELLED his credit card. With the average credit card debt being about $3k, that is a saving of about $330 per annum.

2. Increase your financial knowledge
By learning more about the financial markets you increase your ability to make a profit. It s pretty obvious!

Look at investing in software with market analysis capabilities or at a recommendation report which tells you what to buy and why. These tools save you time and make profit-making an easier goal to achieve.

Also look at buying books by or about those who ve attained financial success. Visit the Reviews section of our blog for inspiration.

3. Take a break
Go on a holiday! Even a cheap weekend away with all this doom and gloom will be enough to recharge your batteries. $900 dollars will be enough to take advantage of the sales at the big department stores. Buy a tent and a sleeping bag and you will still have enough left over for a week s accommodation at a camping ground.

4. Bonus Suggestion
When I was talking about my top three it was suggested to me that you could use the money to buy a bike. This has a couple of benefits: it will save on public transport fees, parking and petrol, plus you will be getting fit at the same time meaning you maybe able to cancel your Gym membership!

Spend it wisely.

Books In Review
With the Easter break this month I have managed to make my way through two books: Winning by Jack Welsh, and Way of the Turtle the Secret Methods that Turned Ordinary People into Legendary Traders by Curtis M. Faith.

Click here to read my reviews.

I also picked up another book, which breaks from my normal rule of only reviewing books on finance. I have only read 3 chapters of Tunnel Vision but I would have to say at this point this book is truly hilarious! I will give you a full review next month.

Damian Isbister
Chief Operating Officer, MDS Financial

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Friday 20th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

Friday, March 20th, 2009

Presented by Michael Hevern
MDS Financial

Click here to watch the presentation.

or

Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1201Kb).

General Advice Only

*************************************************
In this morning s wrap

DOW: down 1.2% – Off Resistance
Fed Printing Money to Reflate
Hedge Funds Buying (first time since October)

NASDAQ: down 0.5% – M&A
Heady Times

FTSE: down 0.3% – Resistance
Financials & Miners Lead;
DAX up 1.2% & CAC up 0.6%

NIKKEI: down 0.3%
BoJ to Economy is Worsening Significantly ;
Hang Seng up 0.1%

Oil: up 6.6% – Above $51
OPEC to Cut in May;

Gold: up 8% ($959)
Commodities Up
USD down

SPI: Critical Levels: 3520 & 3420
SPI down 5;
ASX200 into Resistance

ASX News
* NEM suitor for NCM; but open to Barrick Gold
* BHP $US3.2bn bond raising at 5.5% to 6.5%
vs RIO 9% to 9.5% $US7.2bn Chinalco deal
* TLS ACCC case fear of forced split
* Resources to recover
* Look to Golds & Energy to shine
* Financials likely to support
* ASX to open flat US Fed printing money

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Thursday 19th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

Thursday, March 19th, 2009

Presented by Michael Hevern
MDS Financial

Click here to watch the presentation.

or

Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (865Kb).

General Advice Only

*************************************************
In this morning s wrap

DOW: up 1.2% – Testing Resistance
Fed Will Buy $300bn in
Long Term Treasuries in next 6 months

NASDAQ: up 2% – Outperforms
IMB to bid for SUN (which was up 78%);
Oracle up 6% (After hours Report)

FTSE: down 1.4% – Resistance
Financials & Energy Support;
DAX up 0.2% & CAC down 0.3%

NIKKEI: up 0.3%
BoJ to Increase Bond Purchases; Hang Seng up 1.9%
Komatsu Sales Down 20%;

Oil: up 0.8% – Holds Near $50
OPEC to Cut in May;
Though US Inventories Up

Gold:
Commodities Lower
USD up

SPI: Critical Levels: 3520 & 3320
SPI up 31;
ASX200 into Resistance

ASX News
DJS 1H09 profits up 2%;F/casts profit growth 0-5%
ANZ faces $322m loss if BrisConnection fails
NCM no debt & $470m cash acquisition trail
RIO doubts on Chinalco; Broker JPM says Sell
Look to Golds to weigh
Energy to support
Financials likely to support
ASX to open higher US Fed Will Buy $300bn in
Long Term Treasuries in next 6 months

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Wednesday 18th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

Wednesday, March 18th, 2009

Presented by Michael Hevern
MDS Financial

Click here to watch the presentation.

or

Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1015Kb).

General Advice Only

*************************************************
In this morning s wrap

DOW: up 2.5% – Testing Resistance
Feb. Housing Start Surprise (+22%)
Alcoa Cuts Divys/Needs To Raise Money

NASDAQ: up 4% – Outperforms
Broke Critical Levels;
Cisco Leads up 4.5%

FTSE: down 0.2%

Profit Taking; Miners Fall;
DAX down 1.4% & CAC down 0.9%

NIKKEI: up 0.8%
BoJ to Increase Bond Purchases
Hang Seng down 0.8%

Oil: up 3.8%
OPEC to Cut in May
Testing $50

Gold: down 0.5% ($916) Support Holds
Commodities Mixed
USD holds

SPI: Critical Levels: 3520 & 3320
SPI up 27;
ASX200 into Resistance

ASX News
* AXA $660m capital raising
* CBA possible dividend cut
* RIO looking to options without Chinalco
- new CEO from British American Tobacco
* Look to Golds to weigh
* Energy to lead
* Financials likely to support
* ASX to open higher US Fed Meeting

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Super funds advised to buy

Monday, March 16th, 2009

With markets as cheap as they now are, some asset consultants have been suggesting now is the time for super funds to buy, according to The Australian.

Following on from last week s strong performances on Wall Street, and signals that good value stocks are available in the market, these analysts are recommending careful investment in global equities, top quality debt and credit markets.

As with most of the good news recently, the stress is still on caution. Still of concern:

    • the bottom of the market is yet to be identified
    • dividends are likely to fall further
    • we don t yet know how outstanding corporate debt will be handled
  • This article offers a range of opinions, click here to read the full text.

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