Posts Tagged ‘global economic crisis’

Sales up for Harvey Norman

Monday, June 29th, 2009

Defying standard practice for an economic downturn, consumers have been buying up at Harvey Norman‘s winter clearance sale.

Sales results are better than expected, according to CEO Gerry Harvey, with the appeal of cheap imports counteracting shoppers’ reluctance to spend money on furniture and white goods during times of economic difficulty.

However with discounts of up to 70% the good sales figures come at the cost of healthy profit margins.

Gerry Harvey sees the trend as a positive indicator for the economy and a sign that unemployment will not reach double figures.

ASX Code: HVN
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For more details on this news story:
The Australian: “Winter clearance gives Harvey Norman a lift”

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Qantas set to save $1bn

Wednesday, June 10th, 2009

At the International Air Transport Association annual conference, Qantas CEO Alan Joyce announced Qantas is expecting to save $1 billion in the next financial year, by delaying aircraft deliveries.

Delivery of four A380s, 12 Boeing 737s and now potentially the 787 Dreamliners as well will be deferred, allowing Qantas to save big on capital expenditure.

This saving comes on top of the spoils of a $500 million capital raising.

And while Qantas has been forced to cut back staff and routes in the uncertain economic climate, the Jetstar brand has grown 30% internationally.

ASX Code: QAN
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Aussie dollar s rally thrills the analysts

Tuesday, May 26th, 2009

The Australian dollar s recent rally is causing analysts to describe it as being at the vanguard of a global recovery .

According to this Bloomberg report, the AUD s recent upswing is an indicator of optimism among analysts that economies worldwide are recovering.

The Aussie dollar has risen 21% since Feb 25, the fastest gain since it began freely trading in 1983. It s tipped to outpace all other top currencies.

The good signs:

  • retail sales and export figures jumped in March
  • jobless numbers dropped in April
  • the continuing growth in India and China will secure a demand for our commodities
  • Australia s recession is considered shallow compared to those of the other G-10 economies

On the other hand:

  • some analysts feel the AUD s rally doesn t have staying power
  • investors may turn instead to emerging markets with higher interest rates, such as Brazil and South Africa

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To get the details in the Bloomberg article, click here.

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Mr Rudd s $42bn plan: what do the editorials say?

Wednesday, February 4th, 2009

Following the government s announcement of a second economic stimulus package yesterday, our major media sources have had much to say about the effectiveness (or otherwise) of the PM s strategies.

Here s what some editors and analysts are saying about Mr Rudd s $42bn golden handshake:

The Australian: a bold plan

  • The high cost is justified by the depressing economic figures, and by the challenge of preventing job losses
  • Scepticism regarding the economic benefits of $150m worth of level crossing boom-gate spending
  • Accepts the government s assertion that this package is about saving Australia from an economic crunch that could set us back by years
  • There are some dangers in the package:
    o long-term deficits if growth does not return
    o less capacity for community spending
    o lump-sum payments are normally inferior to tax cuts, although tax cuts take time to work
  • Kevin Rudd had no choice but to act boldly, and has taken responsibility for the crisis

The Age – Michelle Grattan: this package will be well-received

  • the one-off bonuses (as opposed to tax cuts) makes it easier for the government to return to surplus
  • the infrastructure spending is consistent with Kevin Rudd s education revolution and will be a popular program among voters
  • the package is weak on offers for the unemployed
  • the government can t be confident these measures will keep Australia from recession

The Age Editorial: a commendable response to genuine crisis

  • Aspects of the plan may be debatable. Its size and urgency are not.
  • The government is to be commended for the urgency, scale and structure of its response to the global economic crisis
  • Questionable fairness of a flat $950 bonus, and neglect of pensioners whose incomes are hit by rate cuts
  • Favourable response to infrastructure spending: every $1 spent boosts economic activity by $1.40

The Daily Telegraph: this is more of a political strategy than an economic one

  • A relatively well-positioned economy is being affected by exaggerated and negative commentary. Mr Rudd should be more positive!
  • A one-off fiscal stimulus is short-lived and of questionable effectiveness.
  • The Reserve Bank damaged the economy through mishandling monetary policy in the second half of 2007
  • The government should restore business and consumer confidence through tax cuts

Australian Financial Review: handouts raise concerns

  • Suspicion that the new package is aimed at avoiding a technical recession, a political strategy not economic
  • Nothing for major infrastructure which would provide productive long term investment
  • Insulation handouts are a gimmick, not an energy efficiency policy
  • Tax cuts would be better for small and medium businesses

Bloomberg: more than appropriate

  • Given the state of the global economy, the loss of the budget surplus is necessary
  • Australia is facing greater obstacles than officials in Canberra and Sydney are admitting to

 
Further Information

  • Australian Financial Review

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