Posts Tagged ‘finance markets’

  • Wednesday, 22nd April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 22nd, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (999Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 1.6%
    Geithner: Eases Fears on Bank s Health
    banks have more capital than needed

    NASDAQ: up 2.2%
    Yahoo in line, 1Q09 Profits down 78%,
    Ad Revenue down 10%

    FTSE: flat -0.1%
    Financials Weigh; IMF: Credit Losses $4.1Trillion
    DAX up 0.3% & CAC up 0.2%

    NIKKEI: down 2.4%
    Autos to Report Losses (Crippling Sales);
    BoJ Economy to Contract 5%; Hang Seng down 3%

    Oil: up 1.4% – At $47
    Falling Channel Holds

    Gold: down 0.2% ($882)
    Commodities Mixed;
    USD Lower

    SPI up 35 (1.0%)
    SPI: Critical Levels: 3800 & 3600
    Rudd: Recession Inevitable

    ASX News

    BHP QTR production report
    AIO non-binding takeover offers
    ALL expecting 44% fall 1H09 profits (raising $275m)
    WES Coles turnaround sales up 7.6% ($5.3bn 3Q09)
    Job cuts AXA (120); FXJ (70);
    Materials & Financials to recover
    Golds to hold
    ASX to open higher US higher on Tim Giethner report
    US Busy Earnings Reporting
    Wed. Apr. 22nd: Apple Ebay, EMC
    Thr. Apr. 23rd: Microsoft, Amazon

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    Wednesday 8th April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 8th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (813Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 0.6%
    Fed says Banks are Healthy;
    Trade Deficit Better-than-Expected

    NASDAQ: down 0.9%
    Intel (#1 Chip Maker) 1Q09 Better
    But Profit still down 55%

    FTSE: down 0.2%
    Financials & Miners Weigh; Unemployment at 2.2m
    DAX down 0.3% & CAC down 0.5%

    NIKKEI: down 1.6%
    Nissan to Cut CAPEX;
    Toyota Cuts Production by 28% in 2009

    Oil: up 0.6% ($59)
    Six Month Highs

    Gold: up 1.1% ($922)
    Commodities Higher;
    USD Lower

    SPI up 20 (0.5%)
    SPI: Critical Levels: 4000 & 3800
    Resistance Becomes Support?

    ASX News
    Budget $22bn spend on infrastructure $58bn deficit (9000/person); Keeps AAA Rating
    Inflation 1.75%; Unemployment 8.5%
    FXJ F/cast 27% fall in profits (ad revenue)
    SGP to raise $1.5bn (`20% disc ~$2.60)
    AWB downgrades 1H09 profit F/cast (Brazil problems)
    FMG say NO to Shanghai listing speculation
    OSH says profits lower if Oil price subdued
    Materials, Financials to recover
    Golds and Energy provide support
    ASX to open higher; US mixed

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    Monday 6th April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Monday, April 6th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1273Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 0.5% – up 3.1% for week
    Unemployment at 8.5%;
    DJ Tranports up 7% for Week

    NASDAQ: up 1.2% (up 5.5% for Week)
    For Week: RIM up 32%; Apple up 9%

    FTSE: down 2.3% (up 2.9% for Week)
    UK Companies Most Profit Warnings Since 2001
    DAX down 1.4% & CAC down 1.1%

    NIKKEI: up 0.3%
    China s Stimulus Hope; Autos Down
    Hang Seng up 0.2%

    Oil: down 0.4% – At $52
    Momentum Slowing

    Gold: down 0.1% ($895)
    Commodities Higher;
    USD Lower

    SPI up 33 (+0.9%);
    SPI: Critical Levels: 4000 Next Key Level

    ASX News
    * FMG AISC investigation (from late 2004)
    * RIO Plan B $8bn capital raising
    * MGX resolves issues with customers
    * RBA Decision this week
    * Energy & Golds to weigh
    * Materials to recover
    * Financials continued support
    * ASX to open higher US Higher despite unemployment

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    Wednesday 25th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, March 25th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1052Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 1.5% – Breakout?
    Market Digests Impact of Public Private
    Investment Program (PPIP)

    NASDAQ: down 2.5%
    Profit Taking

    FTSE: down 1% – Breakout?
    Miners and Financials see Profit Taking;
    DAX up 0.3% & CAC up 0.2%

    NIKKEI: up 3.3%
    Deflation Looms Consumer Prices Stalled;
    Hang Seng up 2%

    Oil: down 0.4% – Above $53
    PPIPs $1T to Stimulate
    World economies

    Gold: down 3% ($937)
    Commodities Down
    USD Up

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3640 & 3440
    SPI down 25;
    ASX200 At Resistance

    ASX News
    * GCL cashed up; in play says NHC chairman
    * NAB Chief to address Chamber of Commerce
    * ORL 1H09 profit up 20%; Rev up 11%; cost cuts
    * Energy and Gold stock to weaken
    * Financials to see profit taking
    * RBA Glen Stevens to speak tonight
    * ASX to open flat US Fed printing money

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    Tuesday 24th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, March 24th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (908Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 6.8% – Breakout?
    Fed Spending $1 Trillion on Toxic Assets;
    S&P500 biggest 10 day move since 1938

    NASDAQ: up 6.7%
    Still Outperforms
    FTSE: up 2.8% – Breakout?
    Financials Lead;
    DAX up 3.6% & CAC up 2.6%

    NIKKEI: up 3.4%
    Economy Needs 1 Trillion Yen Injection;
    Hang Seng up 4.8%

    Oil: up 3.3% – Above $53
    PPIPs $1T to Stimulate
    World economies

    Gold: down 1.5% ($937)
    Commodities Up
    USD down

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3640 & 3440
    SPI up 88;
    ASX200 Above Resistance

    ASX News
    * Resources to run look to big miners
    * Look to Golds to pullback
    * Energy to lead
    * Financials to continue
    * ASX to open up US $1T – Fed (PPIP) Public Private Investment Program

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    Monday 23 March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Monday, March 23rd, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1118Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 1.7% – Flat for the Week
    Fed Spending $1 Trillion and Counting to Attempt to Free Credit Markets

    NASDAQ: down 1.8% (up 1.5% for Week)
    Profit Taking

    FTSE: up 0.7% – Up 3.5% for Week
    Financials & Miners Catchup;
    DAX up 0.6% & CAC up 0.5%

    NIKKEI: down 0.3% (up 5% for Week)
    Finance Ministewr says: Economy Needs 1 Trillion Yen Injection;
    Sony $US529m 1Q Loss;
    Hang Seng down 2.3%

    Oil: Flat – Above $51 (up 12% for Week)
    OPEC to Cut in May;

    Gold: up 0.3% ($957) (up 2.7% for Week)
    Commodities Down
    USD down

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3540 & 3340
    SPI down 20;
    ASX200 into Resistance

    ASX News
    * NEM suitor for NCM;but open to Barrick Gold
    * MAP drop in traffic at ALL airports (Sydney -8%)
    * OZ nervous wait banker/FIRB
    * SIP annual results today
    * Resources to weigh
    * Look to Golds hold
    * Energy to pullback
    * Financials likely to see profit taking
    * ASX to open flat US Fed printing money

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    Will Woolies drive a nail into Bunnings?

    Thursday, February 5th, 2009

    Woolworths is thought to be well advanced with a plan to set up a big-box hardware retail business, challenging Wesfarmer s dominant Bunnings chains.

    An article in The Australian argues the move is a smart one for Woolworths, as the market offers hefty margins and is ripe for a new entrant . The article also suggests Woolies has been looking into Reece Australia.

    Earlier plans to merge with Mitre 10, which currently has the second largest share of the $38 billion market, have been abandoned.

    Woolies has also recently bought Langton s Fine Wines Auctions, an upmarket online wine business which it says will complement its existing liquor retail business led by Dan Murphy s.

    Stocks for your watchlist

    • Woolworths: WOW (ASX)
    • Wesfarmers: WES (ASX)
    • Reece Australia: REH (ASX)

    Further Information

     

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    Shareholder Rights and Class Actions

    Friday, January 30th, 2009

    Lawyers look set to prosper from an upcoming raft of class actions, as shareholders are given greater access to sue insolvent companies.

    The High Court s recent and controversial Sons of Gwalia decision found that shareholders with a claim against a company that enters administration could participate in the distribution of its assets.

    Class actions are expected against Centro Properties Group, Centro Retail Trust and Opes Prime, and potentially against ABC Learning, Allco Finance Group, Octaviar, Credit Corp Group and Oz Minerals.

    All this is terrific news for lawyers, as is the growing trend of newly retrenched people seeking to sue ex-employers. Under normal conditions these people are more likely to move into new jobs instead.

    Litigation funders like IMF Australia, Comprehensive Legal Funding and Litigation Lending Services also anticipate a good year ahead.

    Stock for your watchlist:

    IMF IMF Australia (ASX)

    Further information:
    The Australian Financial Review

    The Age

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    Friday 30th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Friday, January 30th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (756Kb).

    **********************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices

    DOW down 2.7%

    • new home sales worst on record
    • jobless claims worst since 1967

    S&P down 3.3%

    • hasn t managed to trade above the 50 day moving average

    NASDAQ down 3.2%

    • profit taking
    • Apple, Microsoft and Cisco down

    FTSE down 2.5%

    • Shell fourth quarter loss
    • IMF: World Trade down 45% in fourth quarter

    CAC and DAX down 2%

    NIKKEI up 1.8%

    • above 7900 support

    Commodities
    Oil down 1.1%

    • above $40 mark ($42)
    • OPEC considers more production cuts

    Gold up 2.2% ($908)

    • stimulus to create inflation

    Silver up 3%
    Nickel, copper, lead and zinc all down

    Local Index
    SPI down 96 points

    • RBA meeting on Tuesday

    ASX News
    Lendlease writedowns
    Tabcorp profits down, $11.5m bounced check
    Miners and Financials to weigh
    Gold spikes up
    RBA to cut interest rates
    ASX likely to open sharply lower

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    Interest rate cuts on the horizon

    Thursday, January 29th, 2009

    Economists are anticipating the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates dramatically next week, following signs that inflation pressures are easing.

    It s expected the RBA will cut the official cash rate by 1 percentage point, to a record low of 3.25%. There is also speculation the rate will drop further in the coming months, to 2.5% by midyear.

    In other related news:

    • businesses are taking around 56 days to pay bills, a sign of cash-flow problems associated with a lack of access to credit
    • the IMF has issued its gloomiest forecast yet, with expectations of the global economy growing just 0.5% this year
    • over the ditch, New Zealand s central bank has cut its official interest rates by 1.5 percentage points, to a record low of 3.5%

    Further information:

    The Age

    The Australian Financial Review

    Herald Sun

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