Posts Tagged ‘economy’

  • Monday, 27 April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Monday, April 27th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1228Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 1.5% (flat for week)
    Ford (1Q09 $US1.4bn Loss Better Than Expected)
    Reporting Season Mid Point

    NASDAQ: up 2.6% (up 1% for week)
    Breakout
    Microsoft up 10.5%

    FTSE: up 3.4% (up 1.3% for week)
    Retail Sales Positive Surprise ;
    DAX up 1.5% & CAC up 3.6%

    NIKKEI: down 1.6%(down 2.2% for week)
    BoJ Says Economy to Contract up to 4%
    Hang Seng up 0.3%

    Oil: down 1% – At $51 (flat for week)
    US Dollar Lower

    Gold: up 1.1% ($913) (up 4.8% for week)
    Commodities Higher;
    USD Lower

    SPI up 43 (1.2%)
    SPI: Critical Levels: 3800 & 3600
    Swine Flu at Aussie Doorstep

    ASX News
    WPL set to raise $1.4bn (from US)
    LNN- Kirin offers $4.7bn bid (@$12.22 +47%) for 54% stake
    Interim Earnings this week: NAB tomorrow then later in the week ANZ,WBC,MQG
    OZL sells Indonesian Martable gold & silver ($296m)
    MAP Sydney Airport see fall in traffic, and is to defer $90m projects for 18 months
    BTA one to benefit from swine flu out break
    Financials to be flat ahead of earnings updates
    Golds to support
    ASX to open higher; US higher on Ford report

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    Thursday, 23rd April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Thursday, April 23rd, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************

    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 1.1%
    Morgan Stanley Disappoints ($177m Loss);
    Concerns Over Upcoming Stress Tests

    NASDAQ: flat 0.1%
    Apple Continues to Outperform (Q profit +15%);
    Ebay Beats Forecasts

    FTSE: up 1.1%
    Deficit Widens; Unemployment Soars to 1.7m
    DAX up 2.1% & CAC up 1.8%

    NIKKEI: down 2.4%
    Losses Driven by Financials after IMF Report;
    Hang Seng down 2.7%

    Oil: down 0.6% – At $48
    US Inventories Up

    Gold: up 0.8% ($890)
    Commodities Mixed;
    USD Higher

    SPI down 12 (0.3%)
    SPI: Critical Levels: 3800 & 3600
    IMF: Aus Economy to Contract 1.4%

    ASX News

    • BHP Qtr production falls
    • TLS Stokes has $500m of shares
    • QAN Faces Delta competition for AUS-US
    • Reports: CTX AGM; NCM,STO Qtr production
    • FMG China s NDRC approves Hunan Valin proposal
    • Materials & Financials to weigh
    • Golds to hold
    • ASX to open lower; US lower on MS report
    • Options Expiry Today

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    Wednesday, 22nd April 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 22nd, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (999Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 1.6%
    Geithner: Eases Fears on Bank s Health
    banks have more capital than needed

    NASDAQ: up 2.2%
    Yahoo in line, 1Q09 Profits down 78%,
    Ad Revenue down 10%

    FTSE: flat -0.1%
    Financials Weigh; IMF: Credit Losses $4.1Trillion
    DAX up 0.3% & CAC up 0.2%

    NIKKEI: down 2.4%
    Autos to Report Losses (Crippling Sales);
    BoJ Economy to Contract 5%; Hang Seng down 3%

    Oil: up 1.4% – At $47
    Falling Channel Holds

    Gold: down 0.2% ($882)
    Commodities Mixed;
    USD Lower

    SPI up 35 (1.0%)
    SPI: Critical Levels: 3800 & 3600
    Rudd: Recession Inevitable

    ASX News

    BHP QTR production report
    AIO non-binding takeover offers
    ALL expecting 44% fall 1H09 profits (raising $275m)
    WES Coles turnaround sales up 7.6% ($5.3bn 3Q09)
    Job cuts AXA (120); FXJ (70);
    Materials & Financials to recover
    Golds to hold
    ASX to open higher US higher on Tim Giethner report
    US Busy Earnings Reporting
    Wed. Apr. 22nd: Apple Ebay, EMC
    Thr. Apr. 23rd: Microsoft, Amazon

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    Wednesday 1st April 2009 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 1st, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (307Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 1.2% – Resistance!
    Financials Recover;
    Quarterly End Window Dressing

    NASDAQ: up 1.8%
    Momentum Slowing;

    FTSE: up 4.3% – Down 11% for Qtr
    Miners and Financials Weigh;
    DAX down 1.4% & CAC up 3.2%

    NIKKEI: down 1.5%- Most in 2 Months
    Jobless Rate Jumps (3yr high); Wages Fall
    Hang Seng up 0.9%

    Oil: up 0.9% – At $49
    US Weakening Demand

    Gold: up 0.9% ($919)
    Commodities Higher;
    USD Lower

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3540 & 3440
    SPI up 26 (+0.7%);
    ASX200 Expected Flat

    ASX News
    * OZL Minmetals to offer ~$1.6bn to $2bn
    * FMG Chinese $645m Valin deal passes step 1 (Fed Gov t)
    * MQG cuts bonuses, plus MCG sale (gives~$1bn)
    * BHP Alcoa acquisition?
    * Energy & Gold to weigh
    * Materials to recover
    * Financials to support
    * ABS Feb Retails Sales & Building Approvals
    * ASX to open higher US up end-of-Qtr

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    Tuesday 31st March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (870Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 1.9% – Resistance!
    Autos Trigger Sell-off; Restructure or Else!
    US Banks Need More Bailout

    NASDAQ: down 2.8%
    Uptrend Broken;

    FTSE: down 3.5% – Resistance!
    Miners and Financials Weigh;
    DAX down 1.4% & CAC down 4.3%

    NIKKEI: down 4.5%- Most in 2 Months
    Fears of Corporate Failures
    Hang Seng down 4.7%

    Oil: down 7.1% – At $48
    US Weakening Demand

    Gold: down 0.9% ($915) Big Picture
    Commodities Lower;
    USD Higher

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3540 & 3440
    SPI down 57 (-1.6%);
    ASX200 Expect Pullback

    ASX News
    * OZL Minmetals revises bid Ex Prominent Hill; $1.1bn Debt to re-finance
    * Big miners to weigh
    * Energy, Gold & Materials to weigh
    * Financials to see continued profit taking ASX to open lower US lower; G20

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    Go you good thing

    Friday, March 27th, 2009

    In the spirit of ending the week on a buoyant note, let s pause and consider some of the good news stories to have struggled out of the normally gloomy finance and business pages in the last day or two

    • A key United Nations survey is predicting modest positive growth for Australia in 2009
    • The Australian share market is heading for its biggest monthly gain in more than 20 years
    • The Australian dollar crept back up above 70 US cents
    • The Reserve Bank believes Australia s banks are in a relatively strong position for coping with the GFC
    • US stocks have rallied for a second straight day, following positive economic data which fuelled hopes that the US economy may be stabilising

    Inevitably, each of those items is balanced with talk of ongoing bear market conditions and unsustainable rallies, but sometimes it pays to be selective in your news intake.

    More info:

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    Friday 27th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Friday, March 27th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (919Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: up 2.3% – Breakout?
    Growing Unemployment Rate Slowing;
    Best Buys Upbeat on Earnings

    NASDAQ: up 3.8%
    Uptrend Holding;
    Continues to Outperform;

    FTSE: up 0.6% – Resistance!
    Miners and Financials Recover;
    DAX down 1.4% & CAC flat (-0.07%)

    NIKKEI: up 1.8%
    $US10bn Fund To Aid Real Estate;
    Hang Seng up 3.6%

    Oil: up 2.2% – At $54
    US Improving Sentiment
    Despite Weakening Demand

    Gold: up 0.4% ($939)
    Commodities Lower;
    Amid Talk of World Currency

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3740 & 3540
    SPI up 44 (1.2%);
    ASX200 Just Above Resistance
    ASX200 is up 5.3% for the week and 16% for the past 3 weeks

    ASX News
    * Options settlements will add to volatility early
    * RIO up significantly overnight
    * Energy continue up
    * Financials may see profit taking/covered calls
    * ASX to open up US higher;
    * We may see profit taking in afternoon being Friday

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    Wednesday 25th March 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, March 25th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1052Kb).

    General Advice Only

    *************************************************
    In this morning s wrap

    DOW: down 1.5% – Breakout?
    Market Digests Impact of Public Private
    Investment Program (PPIP)

    NASDAQ: down 2.5%
    Profit Taking

    FTSE: down 1% – Breakout?
    Miners and Financials see Profit Taking;
    DAX up 0.3% & CAC up 0.2%

    NIKKEI: up 3.3%
    Deflation Looms Consumer Prices Stalled;
    Hang Seng up 2%

    Oil: down 0.4% – Above $53
    PPIPs $1T to Stimulate
    World economies

    Gold: down 3% ($937)
    Commodities Down
    USD Up

    SPI: Critical Levels: 3640 & 3440
    SPI down 25;
    ASX200 At Resistance

    ASX News
    * GCL cashed up; in play says NHC chairman
    * NAB Chief to address Chamber of Commerce
    * ORL 1H09 profit up 20%; Rev up 11%; cost cuts
    * Energy and Gold stock to weaken
    * Financials to see profit taking
    * RBA Glen Stevens to speak tonight
    * ASX to open flat US Fed printing money

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    Golden handshakes stir up fury

    Friday, February 27th, 2009

    Following Pacific Brands announcement of more than 1800 job cuts, news of the CEO s hefty 170% pay rise has added fuel to the firey debate on executive salaries.

    The ACTU president has called CEO Sue Morphet s pay packet of $1.86 million obscene , and a sign corporate Australia s wonky moral compass. Remarkably, Ms Morphet s remuneration was half that of the previous CEO.

    In addition, the total remuneration for the company s 13 directors more than doubled last year, to $15.5 million.

    Despite receiving $15 million in taxpayer assistance funds in the last two years, Pacific Brands announced it would move its manufacturing offshore, at the expense of 1850 jobs.

    The debate is set to continue with Sol Trujillo s departure from Telstra. It s been estimated the outgoing chief will leave with a $33 million golden handshake when he finishes up in June, as well as tax compensation and share options.

    Further information:

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    Australia is well positioned to ride out global recession: RBA

    Thursday, February 19th, 2009

    The RBA continues to offer encouraging words about how well the Australian economy is positioned for the global recession.

    RBA assistant governor Malcolm Edey was in reassuring mode yesterday, arguing Australia s monetary and fiscal policy was likely to be more effective than similar measures overseas.

    • interest rate reductions are being passed on to mortgage holders
    • the weakening of the Australian dollar is making exports more attractive to trading partners
    • retail sales for December were boosted by the government s first stimulus package
    • China and India would grow strongly again once the financial crisis passes

    Dire December figures from around the world may be reflect a brief spasm of turmoil, he suggested, brought about by one-off cuts to spending, production and inventories, combined with tighter credit restrictions, falling demand and confidence.

    More coverage on this subject can be expected tomorrow, when the RBA chief will be appearing before the House of Representatives economics committee.

    Further information:

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