Posts Tagged ‘contracts for difference’

CFD Trading: Pairs Trading With CFDs

Friday, July 16th, 2010

If you have been struggling with the volatility in your trading accounts lately then perhaps it is time to take a look at pairs trading using CFDs. Pairs trading can dramatically reduce the impact of daily market swings on your account, is market neutral and can deliver profits in both a rising and falling markets.

What is Pairs Trading?

Pairs trading involves buying one share (trading long) and selling a second share (trading short). The long position in one share is matched with a similar sized short position in another share. If you believe BHP will outperform RIO, then you could buy $50,000 BHP and sell $50,000 of RIO. You then profit from the difference in performance between the two shares.

Buy the share/s that you believe are stronger and sell the share/s that you believe are weaker. If the market rises, all shares are likely to rise but the strong share should rise more than the weak share. This reverses when the market falls because the weak share is likely to fall faster than the strong share. This strategy will usually under perform a straight long position when the market is rising but will minimise losses when the market falls.

Trading currency is one form of pairs trading because a currency is always traded in relationship to another currency. Traders can trade the relationship between the Australian dollar and the United States dollar. If your view was that the US dollar was going to outperform the Australian dollar, then you would buy the US dollar and sell the Australian dollar to the same dollar value. Your profit or loss is then dependent on the relative performance of the two currencies and is unrelated to the performance of either currency to another currency, for example, the Euro.

When pairs trading using CFDs you will receive interest on the share that you have sold short and you will have to pay interest on the share that you have bought for the long position. For example if the interest charged is the RBA base rate + 2 per cent on long positions and RBA base rate – 2 per cent on short positions, your net interest charge will be the difference of 4 per cent when using this strategy.

The Market Analyser software has two very useful charting features that can assist with your pairs trading. The obvious “Pair chart” displays the red line below the graph showing the relationship of the two shares. The “Overlay chart” draws the chart of the second share as a line on the original share. In the example below the base chart is BHP and the overlay is RIO.

Market Analyser Chart: BHP and RIO

From studying this chart it becomes clear that BHP and RIO follow each other fairly closely, most of the time, but there are times when the two charts diverge. At the very right of the chart BHP has been underperforming RIO, which can be seen by the pairs chart in the lower screen falling away during June. At the same time the overlay chart of RIO is moving higher more rapidly than BHP. This is reversing the out performance of BHP through May, where BHP fell less than RIO did. If you were long BHP and short RIO you would have made money in May, but lost money in June. It is important that the pairs chart in the lower window is rising or falling for you to make money, it is unimportant what the price is actually doing.

Pairs Chart: BHP and RIO

Pairs trading can provide you with the opportunity to profit from differences in the performance of two shares when trading with CFDs. Market Analyser has two tools that can assist you to find opportunities to pairs trade, by plotting the relative performance of the shares you are interested in. CFDs are the ideal instrument to use for pairs trading as CFDs can be easily short sold. In addition to this pairs trading with CFDs reduces the volatility and can smooth out your overall returns.

By Jeff Cartridge
Education Manager

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Risk Disclaimer

Be aware that CFDs are leveraged products which carry a high level of risk to your capital, as it is possible to incur losses that exceed your initial investment. Therefore CFDs may not be suitable for your level of acceptable investment risk. Before proceeding with CFD trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved, otherwise seek independent financial advice

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CFD Trading: Using CFDs to Short Sell on Short Notice

Friday, June 25th, 2010

We have reviewed our market this week with a view to trading it using Contracts for Difference (CFDs).

What’s a CFD?

A CFD is an agreement to exchange the price difference of an instrument between the time a contract is opened and the time it is closed. CFDs are highly leveraged derivative products that allow traders to trade using margins from 3% to 25%, depending on the liquidity of the underlying instrument. In this section we refer to instruments in CFD trading which can be shares / indices.

Benefits of trading CFDS

One of the key benefits of trading using CFDs, particularly when trading the market short, is that the process is not complicated, it is simply just the reverse of trading long. There are other instruments for trading the market short which include options and solutions offered by margin lending providers, however there can be issues with the liquidity in the options market and problems in finding the stock to short with margin providers.

CFD Models

There are a number of CFD provider models such as the market maker model and the direct access model. As the names suggest, the marker maker model (MMM) is where the CFD derives a CFD price based on the price of the underlying instrument (it need not exactly match the price). The direct access model (DMA) uses prices which exactly match the price of the underlying instrument.

Things to consider when trading CFDs

The other key consideration when CFD trading is the liquidity of the underlying instrument. Traders should only trade instruments that are liquid, because their profit/loss account can be significantly impacted due to slippage when entering/exiting trades. With this in mind we have reviewed the S&P ASX top 20 stocks. Learn more about CFD Trading.

Major markets around the world are hovering around their key levels as defined by their 50 and 200 day moving average. In our previous article about Market Momentum we highlighted that the positive momentum that markets had enjoyed from March 2009 has now subsided. All the key markets are still below their 52 week highs and with the exception of Hong Kong and Germany, overseas markets are still below their 200 day moving average.

The S&P ASX 200 appears to also be losing momentum and is finding resistance at the key levels of the 50 and 200 day moving average. We have evaluated the top 20 stocks and summarised the results in the table and chart below.

Table: Performance of the S&P ASX Top 20 Stocks

Performace of the S&P ASX Top 20 stocks

The table above shows that generally the bias is to the downside in the medium term. In the ASX top 20 stocks, there are 12 stocks in a medium term downtrend and only 6 in a medium term uptrend. Of these 6, only 3 stocks are trading over 4 percent above their 50 day moving average. Half of the top 20 stocks are trading below their 50 day moving average and of these stocks, 6 are trading over 7 % below their 200 day moving averages, which confirms the underlying weakness in these stock prices.

Chart: Price Performance of the S&P ASX20 relative to key level of 50 and 200 day moving averages.

Price performace of the S&P ASX200

The chart above clearly indicates that the weakest stocks in the S&P ASX20 are: AMP, Brambles (BXB), Macquarie (MQG), QBE, and Westpac (WBC).

Conversely in the S&P ASX20 the outperformers are: Newcrest (NCM), Telstra (TLS) and Wesfarmers (WES).

As outlined above you can utilise CFDs to trade the market short on short notice, by trading on margins of 3% to 25%, and benefiting from downward movements in the underlying stock price. Your open positions will be valued every day at the close of business price, with your profits or losses, credited or debited to your account each day.

By Michael Hevern
Head of Research

Risk Disclaimer

Be aware that CFDs are leveraged products which carry a high level of risk to your capital, as it is possible to incur losses that exceed your initial investment. Therefore CFDs may not be suitable for your level of acceptable investment risk. Before proceeding with CFD trading, ensure you fully understand the risks involved, otherwise seek independent financial advice.

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