Archive for November, 2011

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  • Stock Market Analysis: Debt Concerns Send Traders Packing

    Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

    * US stock markets plunged on open overnight and did not recover, as debt concerns filtered through to the US, as Washington’s deficit-cutting Super Committee made little progress, triggering the selloff.
    * European stock markets dropped sharply overnight, due to growing concerns that the problems in Italy and Spain could lead to problems for the credit rating for the French economy. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell -3.2%.
    * Asian stock markets continued their slide. Investors continued to head for the exits as the debt issues in the eurozone and the US remain in focus. Traders are expected to remain negative again today.
    * Commodities prices traded sharply lower, as gold prices were lower to $US1,674 and crude-oil closed down around $US97.

    The SPI Futures is trading around the key pivot level of 4250, ending down -1.6% (or -65 points) at 4,121. The key levels for our index today are 4080 to 4180.

    Yesterday Australian stocks drifted lower on yet another day of light trading.  Investors chose caution due to the problems over the debt financing of the PIIGS economies in the eurozone. There were losses in stock markets across the Asian region, not helped by comments from Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan, who warned that a lasting global recession is on the cards. 

    In Canberra the federal government’s proposed mining tax cleared an important hurdle, with the key independent MPs agreeing to support the legislation in return for stronger oversight of coal seam gas projects and a higher threshold when the tax takes effect. Independent MP Andrew Wilkie said he would support the 30 percent tax, in return for lifting the starting threshold from a profit of $50 million to $75 million. 

    Superannuation funds have provided investors with some good news, reporting an increase in October after five consecutive months of negative returns. According to research company SuperRatings, balanced super funds gained 2.8% last month.

    Shares in the All Ordinaries (XAO) generally eased again yesterday, closing down -0.3% at 4234. The S&P/ASX 200 (XJO) also closed down -0.3% at 4163.

    Aussie traders are expected to sell off stocks again today, following the negative leads from the US and European markets. Traders fears over the eurozone debt crisis continue to weigh on sentiment, as Italian and Spanish debt funding costs remain at unsustainable levels, and in the US the super committee charged with reducing the US deficit hit a deadlock.  We continue to have a busy week for AGMs and production reports, see below for details.

    US Markets

    US stock markets plunged on open overnight and did not recover, as debt concerns filtered through to the US. Washington’s deficit-cutting Super Committee made little progress, triggering the sell-off.

    The Dow Jones Index broke support finishing at levels not seen since early October as all 30 component stocks finished in the red. In the broader markets the S&P500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq finished around -2% lower. The financials and industrials sectors slumped over -2.3%, while the materials, energy, and technology sectors all traded down over -1.8%.

    The US Super Committee, responsible for reducing the budget deficit by at least $US1.2 trillion over the next 10 years or risk triggering an automatic spending cuts, is deadlocked.  This news triggered the selloff as traders worried about a possible credit rating cut being the fallout of the failed negotiations.

    Commodities continued their selloff, with gold slumping to $US1,674 per ounce.

    All ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded lower with Materials down -1.4%, Energy down -1.4%, Financials down -2.1%, Technology down -1.4%, Industrials down -2.0%, and Consumer Staples down -1.3%.

    The Dow Jones closed down -2.1% (or -249 points) at 11,547, the S&P 500 index closed down -1.9% (or -18 points) at 1,197, the Nasdaq ended down -1.9% (or -49 points) at 2,523, and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was down -2.1%.

    European Markets

    European stock markets dropped sharply overnight, due to growing concerns over the problems in Italy and Spain could lead to problems with the credit rating for the French economy. The Stoxx Europe 600 index fell -3.2%.  

    The Moody’s Investors Service warned that rising French government borrowing costs and the faltering economic outlook could threaten the country’s AAA rating outlook.

    Across the region the banks plunged on the growing fear over a possible financial system collapse in the eurozone. Resource stocks also sold off heavily. In London the FTSE 100 fell -2.5% as the resource stocks such as Xstrata PLC and Anglo American PLC dropped over -5%.  The Spanish market also fell despite the overwhelming victory for the opposition popular and fiscally conservative Party of Mariano Rajoy in the weekend’s general election. Spanish borrowing costs remain around their highest levels since the start of the European sovereign-debt crisis. 

    In London the FTSE 100 index closed down -2.6% (or -140 points) at 5,222, the German DAX was down -3.4% (or -194 points) at 5,606 while in France the CAC was down -3.4% (or -102 points) at 2,895. Spain was down -3.5% and Italy was down -4.7%. 

    Asian Markets

    Asian stock markets continued their slide. Investors continued to head for the exits, as the debt issues in the eurozone and the US remain in focus.

    Across the region the financials led the falls as economic growth forecasts were ratcheted down again. In Japan data showed that the country swung back to a trade deficit in October, missing forecasts that had tipped a surplus. Resource stocks also sold off after Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan suggested the that global economy would certainly fall into recession.

    In China the SSE Composite closed down -0.1% (or -1 point) at 2,415, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -1.4% (or -265 points) at 18,226 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index closed down -0.3% (or -27 points) at 8,348. The South Korean KOSPI was down -1.0% for the session, while the Indian market was down -2.6%.

    Commodities

    The Dollar Index was higher at 78.24 on a lower Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded lower at 98.67. Commodities prices traded sharply lower.

    For the session the benchmark crude NYMEX for December delivery was down -0.2% (or -$US0.22) to settle at $US97.45.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for December delivery was down -3.0% (or -10.3 cents) at $US3.3160.  December gold was down -2.7% (or -$US46.40) at $US1,674. 

    ASX News Today

    BIS – Bisalloy Steel Group the steel plate supplier expects earnings in the current financial year to rise up to 50 per cent.

    BOW – Bow Energy tells shareholders that the year has been challenging but there have been achievements.

    IIN  - Internet service provider iinet has confirmed its intention to buy Canberra-based TransACT for $60 million.

    OST – Onesteel the steelmaker expects conditions for the Australian steel industry to remain challenging. These comments come after reports from Chinese steelmakers that they are also cutting steel production.

    QAN – Negotiations between Qantas and two unions representing ground crew and long-haul pilots have collapsed, leaving the sides to face binding arbitration before Fair Work Australia the industrial relations arbitrator.

    SEK – Online jobs website and education services provider Seek says it expects to post earnings growth in 2011/12.

    MMX – Desperate times for Murchison Metals as it continues talks to sell its stakes in the beleaguered Oakajee port project and its sole producing mine in WA.

    ORI – The ramifications over spill/discharge notifications continue over the Newcastle chemical leak. 

    Local Corporate Reporting

    Challenger Limited (CGF)       Full year 2011 AGM 
    Discovery Metals (DML)         Full year 2011 AGM 
    Monadelphous Group (MND)       Full year 2011 AGM 
    Navitas Ltd (NVT)              Full year 2011 AGM 
    Qube Logistics Holdings (QUB)  Full year 2011 AGM 
    Ridley Corporation (RIC)        Full year 2011 AGM 
     

    Ex-dividend Date

    OXX – Octanex NL
    TRU – The Trust Comp Ltd
     

    Market Summary 

    ASX – to open lower
    US & UK/Europe – sharply lower

    Commodities Stock Index down -1.6%
    Gold Stocks Index down -1.4%
    Oil Stocks Index  down -1.6% 

    US ADRs – Broadly Lower

    BHP  down -2.8% & RIO down -5.1%; AWC down -3.9%
    ANZ down -3.3% & NAB down -4.3%
    NEM  down -0.2%, JHX lower -1.6%, NWS down -1.4%

    By Michael Hevern
    Head of Research

     
    For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

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    ASX Company News: NetComm To Supply Melbourne South East Water

    Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

    NetComm Limited (NTC) has announced that South East Water, one of Melbourne’s three water retailers owned by the Victorian Government, has selected NetComm to supply HSPA Machine-to-Machine (M2M) Routers for the remote monitoring and control of pressure sewerage pump units located in areas spanning the south east of Melbourne to South Gippsland. As part of its long term backlog program, South East Water connects households on septic tanks to the networked sewerage system. High-speed NetComm HSPA M2M Routers are being deployed by South East Water to deliver data from the new pressure sewerage pump units back to a central supervisory control and data acquisition SCADA host system over the internet using 3G connectivity. NetComm HSPA M2M Routers provide undisrupted point-to-point or point-to-multipoint wireless communications for the remote management, regulation and control of sewerage pumps located in demanding environments such as mountainous terrains, high water table districts, environmentally sensitive regions, high gravity zones and other areas typically serviced by pressure sewerage systems. An initial deployment will commence in early November this year.

    “The extraordinary growth of Machine-to-Machine (M2M) connectivity is largely driven by demand from innovative utility companies such as South East Water. We are pleased to have been selected to develop the advanced wireless M2M technology needed to support South East Water’s strong commitment to innovation and customer service.” said David Stewart, Managing Director, NetComm. Designed to create wide area networks utilising the flexibility of 3G, the Routers support multi-level system monitoring for reliable communications that can be managed from a computer or smart phone via a web interface. Multiple communication interfaces and protocols are supported to meet the demands of today’s telemetry and WAN applications; and the embedded Linux operating system and available Software Development Kit (SDK) enables the installation of custom firmware.

    South East Water is owned by the Victorian Government and is one of Melbourne’s three metropolitan water retailers. South East Water provides water, sewerage and recycled water services to 1.5 million residential, business, industrial and institutional customers in Melbourne’s south east. NetComm Limited (NTC) is a leading developer of innovative broadband products for telecommunications carriers and ISPs worldwide. Specialising in fixed and mobile broadband technologies, NetComm customises products to successfully deliver the performance capabilities of world-leading carrier networks to home.

    www.netcomm.com.au

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/Fundamentals/ntc

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    ASX Company News: Pacific Star Network Secures AFL Radio Broadcast Contract

    Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

    The AFL awarded AFL Radio Broadcast rights to the Pacific Star Network (PNW), owner operator of Melbourne sports radio station 1116 SEN for the next 5 years. The broadcast rights announced today by the AFL increases SEN’s commitment from 5 to a minimum of 6 games of AFL games broadcast live, including the Saturday twilight game, a new feature of the expanded AFL Competition. In addition, 1116 SEN will broadcast every game of the finals series and the Grand Final, plus the NAB pre season competition, along with other key events on the AFL calendar.

    Pacific Star CEO Barrie Quick said “We are thrilled to extend our 5 year partnership with the AFL for a further 5 years. We look forward to bringing more live games than ever to our growing audience of people who share our passion for the sport.” In 2012, our award winning commentary team of Anthony Hudson, Dermott Brereton, Kevin Bartlett, David Schwarz, Matt Granland and Daniel Harford will be joined by the highly regarded Carlton Premiership Player and former Coach Robert Walls and North Melbourne Champion David King. With more AFL games, more comment and more news in 2012 and beyond, SEN has reaffirmed its position as Melbourne’s Home of Football.

    www.pacificstarnetwork.com.au

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/Fundamentals/pnw

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    ASX Company News: iiNet To Acquire Transact Communications

    Tuesday, November 22nd, 2011

    iiNet Limited (IIN) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a binding agreement to acquire TransACT Communications Pty Ltd, a leading Canberra‐based telecommunications company, for $60 million. TransACT has operations in the ACT, Queanbeyan, and regional Victoria, with 40,000 customers across the residential, SME, corporate and government market segments.

    iiNet’s Chief Executive Officer, Michael Malone, said the acquisition of TransACT was  consistent with iiNet’s strategy of building scale through consolidation and cemented the  Company’s position as “the new number 2 provider” of DSL broadband. “iiNet’s acquisition of TransACT represents an attractive strategic opportunity to build scale  in the ACT market quickly and efficiently.  In particular, TransACT’s experienced and  passionate management team will allow iiNet to grow its presence in the SME, corporate and  government market segments, a key growth area for the Company.

    Under the sale and purchase agreement, iiNet will pay $60 million for TransACT. The acquisition will be 100% funded through existing cash and debt facilities.  Completion is subject to a number of procedural conditions and is expected to be achieved by 30 November 2011.

    iiNet is Australia’s second largest DSL Internet Service Provider and the leading challenger in the telecommunications market.  It employs nearly 2,000 inquisitive staff across four countries and support over 1.3 million broadband, telephony and Internet Protocol TV (IPTV) services nationwide.

    www.iinet.net.au

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/iin

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    Stock Market Analysis: Traders Remain On Edge Globally

    Monday, November 21st, 2011

    * US markets are now hovering around their 50 and 200 day moving averages, and these levels need to hold in order to setup for a Christmas rally.
    * European equities ended lower on Friday and for the week.  Continuing concerns over the ability of eurozone leaders to garner support of their citizens, to take the necessary austerity measures in order to resolve the ongoing debt crisis that is increasing pressuring the global financial system.
    * Asian stock markets dropped sharply Friday, due to renewed concerns over the worsening European debt crisis, as Italian and Spanish cost of debt funding soared. Traders are expected to remain cautious again today.
    * Commodities prices traded sharp higher , as Gold prices higher to $US1,725 and while crude-oil closed down around $US98.

    The SPI Futures is trading around the key pivot level of 4250, ended flat  (or 1 points) at 4,182. The key levels for our index today are 4120 to 4300.

    Our market has succumbed to the negative sentiment  from the overseas traders last week and is now trading below its 50 day moving average.  The line in the sand is around the 4150 level which has offered support for the past couple of months.  The longer the market holds above the 4150 , the more important this level becomes.  

    Aussie traders again have been held hostage to what is happening in Europe, particularly in Italy, Greece and now Spain, as the PIIGS economies live up to their name.  The Aussie market is holding on to key support levels, but is struggling to make gains, given the macro environment in which we do business. 

    We are seeing weakness in the banks now that that they have completed their dividend period, and we may be in for a move into retail and resource stocks as we head towards the year’s end.  After another struggle between the bulls and the bears last week, the bears appear to be in control as we have broken below the 50 day moving average, which sits around 4200.  The 200 day moving average, which sits around 4,410 still offers significant resistance for any positive momentum into the end of the year.

    Aussie traders are again expected to trade cautiously today, following the negative leads from the US and European markets,  as traders fears over the eurozone debt crisis continued to weigh on sentiment, as Italian and Spanish debt funding costs remain at unsustainable levels.  We continue to have a busy week for AGMs and production reports, see below for details.

    See below for ASX listed companies in the news today.

    Economics News Today
    *  None.

    U.S. Markets

    US markets are now hovering around their 50 and 200 day moving averages, and these levels need to hold in order to setup for a Christmas rally. The November-December period is typically good for stocks, but we need to see the eurozone debt situation settle, before we can look forward to some Christmas cheer.  Debt is also a major concern in the US, as Washington’s deficit-cutting Super Committee appears to be making little progress.   
    The US dollar has surged last week, in a flight to safety,  and this has been weighing on commodities prices.  The major metals have relinquished much of their recent gains, with gold finding resistance around the $US1,800 level and is now trading higher at $US1,725, but Crude oil stayed below $US100 per barrel and copper has pulled back to $US3.40 per pound.
    The Dow Jones Index finished the week down -2.9%, its worst weekly decline in a month, and in now down -4.1% so far this month. In the broader market the S&P500 stock index was down -3.8% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped -4% for the week. In the sector performance the utility and financial stocks, while technology and energy stocks fell. 

    The ten company groups that make up the S&P index traded mixed with the Materials were up 0.5%, Energy sector were down -0.6%, Financials sector was up 0.3%, Technology sector was down -0.8% , Industrials were up 0.2%,  while the Consumer Staples were down -0.1%.

    The Dow Jones closed up 0.3% (or 25 points) at 11,796, the S&P 500 index closed down -0.1%  (or -1  points) at 1,215 the Nasdaq ended down -0.6% (or -15 points)  at 2,573, and the smaller cap Russell 2000 was  up 0.1%.

    European Markets

    European equities ended lower on Friday and for the week.  Continuing concerns over the ability of eurozone leaders to garner support of their citizens, to take the necessary austerity measures in order to resolve the ongoing debt crisis that is increasing pressuring the global financial system.  The Stoxx 600 index fell 0.8%,and was down -3.7% weekly loss.  
    Italian and Spanish cost of debt remained at their highest level since the inception of the eurozone, while Spain held a general election on the weekend.  Across the region banks weighed with Lloyds Bank down -2% and HSBC Holdings PLC declined 0.7% in London, while in Germany Deutsche Bank fell -1.2% and in France Societe Generale SA sank 1.7%.  
    Traders are finding it difficult to know what is next in store for the eurozone debt crisis.  One report suggested that the European Central Bank lend (ECB) could supply money to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) which could be used to finance bailouts, in order to avoid regulatory restrictions that prevented the ECB from further direct bailing outs.  However Germany and the European Central Bank remained opposed to such a suggestion, but discussions may begin soon amid a lack of other alternatives.  
    In London the FTSE 100 ended down -3.3% for the week, while in German the DAX down -4.3% last week, and in France the market ended down -4.8% as the dismal November performance continued. 

    In London the FTSE 100 index closed  down -1.1% (or -60 points) at 5,363, the German DAX was down -0.9% (or -50 points) at 5,800 while in France the CAC was down -0.4% (or -13 points)  at 2,997, Spain up 0.5% and Italy up 0.2%. 

    Asian Markets

    Asian stock markets dropped sharply Friday, due to renewed concerns over the worsening European debt crisis, as Italian and Spanish cost of debt funding soared.  Concerns over the eurozone have been a major drag on the Asian markets due the concerns over faltering global economic growth.  Across the region financials and growth-sensitive resource stocks again traded lower.  

    In Hong Kong the Hang Seng was down -6.1%, in Japan markets were down -3.3%,in Korea markets were down -3.3%, while in China the Shanghai Composite retraced over -3.5% from their Monday open. The Chinese market is drifting down towards 2-year lows again.

    In China the SSE Composite was closed down -1.9% (or -46 points) at 2,416, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was down -1.7% (or -326 points)  at 18,491 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index was closed  up -1.1% (or -105 points) at 8,375, South Korean KOSPI was  down -1.9%  for the session, while the Indian market was down -0.6%.

    Commodities

    The Dollar Index was higher at 78.06 on a lower Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded lower at 99.83. Commodities prices traded higher.

    For the session the Benchmark crude NYMEX for December delivery was down -1.3% (or -$US1.27) settle at $US97.79.  Copper prices are seeking a support level as Copper for December delivery was up 0.6% (or 2.1 cents) at $US3.4045.  December gold was up 0.3% (or $US4.90 at $US1,725.80.  

    ASX News Today
    IIN – iiNet the internet service provider, has been granted a voluntary suspension of its shares pending news of a potential acquisition.

    KMD – Kathmandu Holdings the outdoor clothing chain says sales jumped 16 percent in the first quarter of fiscal 2012, in line with expectations.

    MCP – McPherson the kitchen goods marketer says it plans to split its consumer products and printing divisions to create two, separately listed companies.

    ORI – Orica the explosives and mining services supplier says the closure of its Kooragang Island facility in Newcastle is costing $4 million in earnings each week.

    QAN – Qantas faces the last day of arbitraion ordered by Fair Work Australia tribunal.

    RIO  - the Rio Tinto takeover fight for Canadian junior uranium explorer Hathor Exploration continues with Rio Tinto increasing its offer to $C654 million ($A636 million).

    STO – Santos says it is holding on to its Barossa and Caldita gas fields in the Timor Sea, ruling out a sale of the assets to fund its liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects in Queensland and PNG.

    TLS – Telstra Corporation says strong and profitable growth in mobile and broadband customer numbers will offset a higher than expected fall in revenue from its Sensis business in the current financial year. 

    Local Corporate Reporting
    Bow Energy AGM
    OneSteel AGM�
    SEEK Ltd AGM    

    Ex-dividend Date

    NCM – Newcrest Mining
     
    Market Summary 
    ASX – to open flat
    US & UK/Europe –  lower

    Commodities Stock Index  down -0.2%
    Gold Stocks Index down -1.4%
    Oil Stocks Index  down -0.3% 

    US ADRs – Broadly Lower!!…

    BHP  down -0.4% & RIO down -0.3%; AWC down -0.4%
    ANZ down -0.8% & NAB down -0.7%
    NEM  down -1.2%, JHX up 3.4%, NWS down -1.0%

    By Michael Hevern
    Head of Research

    For Buy and Sell recommendations on ASX listed companies register for a FREE trial of MDS Financial Research.

    BXB – Brambles the pallet supplier, has signed a $US135 million service agreement with PepsiCo.

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    Share Purchase Plan: ADX Energy

    Monday, November 21st, 2011

    ADX Energy (ADX) announced on the 18/11/2011 that they would be conducting a Share Purchase Plan to raise additional capital. The record date was the 17/11/2011 on which shareholders must own the share to participate in the SPP. The closing date is  still to be announced.    A maximum of $15,000 can be purchased by each shareholder at $0.08.

    Discount :  1.2% Liquidity : Poor  Profitability : Poor  Stability : Poor

    *Note: Discount is based on the closing price on the 18 November 2011.

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    ASX Company News: Brambles Secures PepsiCo Contract

    Monday, November 21st, 2011

    Brambles Limited (BXB) is pleased to announce that it has signed a three-year service agreement, worth US$45 million in sales revenue per year, with PepsiCo.

    Brambles’ CEO Tom Gorman said: “We are delighted to welcome PepsiCo as a customer. This reflects our commitment to quality and service.”

    Brambles Limited (BXB) is the world’s leading provider of pallet and container pooling solutions through the CHEP and IFCO brands, and a leading provider of information management solutions through the Recall brand. Brambles employs more than 17,000 people in 54 countries.

    www.brambles.com

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/bxb

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    ASX Company News: Datasquirt Sells Entire Business For US$12.5 million

    Monday, November 21st, 2011

    Datasquirt Limited (DSQ) is pleased to announce the conditional sale of its complete business to LiveOps, Inc., a leading US call centre provider, for US$12.5 Million, a 37% premium over Datasquirt’s current market capitalization. Datasquirt has entered into an asset purchase agreement to sell substantially all of the assets of its business to LiveOps. The total consideration is US$12.5 Million in cash, subject to adjustments for working capital. There is no escrow applied to the consideration and any warranty claims by LiveOps must be made with one year and are limited to US$2.5 Million, except for certain title and IP claims. The Directors anticipate that upon completion of the sale there will be a distribution to shareholders of at least NZ$12.8 Million (NZ$0.41 per share) as a capital return. Following completion of the sale, Datasquirt will be a cash box holding approximately $NZ3 Million (excluding any working capital adjustment) which the Directors will seek to invest in an alternative business, or if no suitable investment opportunities present, return the balance of the cash to shareholders within approximately six months of completion of the sale.

    LiveOps is a US-based leader in providing innovative solutions aimed at solving technology and workforce needs for today’s businesses. The company plans to maintain the current Datasquirt product and service delivery, should the acquisition proceed. Datasquirt (DSQ) supplies CONTACTTM, an award-winning, enterprise grade, multi-channel (email, SMS, fax, web chat and social media) communication solution. Businesses use CONTACTTM to acquire, retain and service customers to achieve revenue growth in a cost-effective and efficient manner. Datasquirt is headquartered in Auckland, New Zealand, with offices in London, Sydney and Düsseldorf. DatasquirtTM and CONTACTTM are trademarks of Datasquirt Limited.

    www.datasquirt.com

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/dsq

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    ASX Company News: Solco Secures NSW Council Solar Contract

    Monday, November 21st, 2011

    Solco (SOO) has secured a contract to install grid connected photovoltaic (PV) systems on a range of buildings operated by the Parkes Shire Council in New South Wales. A total solar generation capacity of up to 250kW will be installed across multiple buildings. The systems will range in size depending on each building, with the largest system to be installed on the Shire Council’s Administration, Library and Cultural Centre. The final composition of the system will be decided through consultation with Parkes Shire Council. It is anticipated that the first systems will be installed before the end of 2011 and all the systems will be operational by the end of the first quarter 2012.

    Solco Executive Chairman Dave Richardson said the contract had been secured in a very competitive tender process and demonstrated that Solco was a leader in providing PV systems for businesses and other organisations. “We believe that Local Governments, medium sized and similar groups are the organisations that will benefit most from upgrading to solar energy systems in the near future. This is because the cost of solar energy is increasingly affordable because it steadily becoming close to parity with traditional electricity sources, plus they are now facing new cost impacts on purchasing electricity as a result of the Federal Government’s Clean Energy Bill.”

    Solco is one of the leading national solar power and pumping product wholesalers, with nationwide distribution networks and an increasing presence in the development of solar power projects and the generation of electricity from solar sources.

    www.solco.com.au

    http://www.traderdealer.com.au/fundamentals/soo

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    Weekly Market Wrap: Global Markets in the Grip of Eurozone Debt Contagion Fears

    Friday, November 18th, 2011

    Globally traders have been on edge again this week, as the eurozone debt train rolled on to Spain. The newswires have been focusing on the debt worries in the eurozone, particularly in Italy and Spain, but again it has been the Asian markets that have born the brunt of the selling.

    European stock markets drifted lower as borrowing costs for Italy and Spain continued to rise to unsustainable levels, and the concern that two of the eurozone’s biggest economies could need bailouts has weighed on investor sentiment. The yield on Italy’s 10-year government bond hovered around the 7% mark again, while Spain’s 10-year government bond yield moved above 6% for the first time since the inception of the eurozone. The new leadership in Greece and Italy have their work cut out for them in order for their respective countries to qualify for the EC bailout rescue funds. There are still concerns that the French credit rating could be downgraded, if the debt contagion starts to impact that economy. Also reports that German and French officials are at odds about how the EU rescue funds should be deployed have unsettled traders.

    Asian markets have again sold down heavily in the past week, with Hong Kong down -6.1%, Korea down -3.3% and China has eased -2.2% from their Monday open. Growth-sensitive resources plays around the region have again fallen sharply and financials stocks have again suffered, particularly those with exposure to eurozone debt. Slowing growth in the eurozone is impacting company prospects for earnings momentum in the medium- term, and Chinese export growth has slowed due the European debt crisis.

    The US markets are now hovering around their 50 and 200 day moving averages, and these levels need to hold in order to setup for a Christmas rally. The November-December period is typically good for stocks, but we need to see the eurozone debt situation settle, before we can look forward to some Christmas cheer. Debt is also a major concern in the US, as Washington’s deficit-cutting Super Committee appears to be making little progress.

    The US dollar has surged this week in a flight to safety, and this has been weighing on commodities prices. The major metals have relinquished much of their recent gains, with gold finding resistance around the $US1,800 level and now trading down at $US1,720. Crude oil pushed up above $US100 per barrel only to retrace overnight, and copper has pulled back to $US3.37 per pound.

    Our View for the Australian Market

    Our market has succumbed to the negative sentiment from the overseas traders and is now trading below its 50 day moving average. The line in the sand is around the 4150 level which has offered support for the past couple of months. The longer the market holds above 4150, the more important this level becomes. In the Analyst’s Eye this week we talk about identifying stocks that have the potential to pull back in the near-term.

    Aussie traders again have been held hostage to what is happening in Europe, particularly in Italy, Greece and now Spain, as the PIIGS economies live up to their name. The Aussie market is holding on to key support levels, but is struggling to make gains, given the macro environment in which we do business. We are seeing weakness in the banks now that that they have completed their dividend period, and we may be in for a move into retail and resource stocks as we head towards the year’s end.

    After another struggle between the bulls and the bears this week, the bears appear to be in control as we have broken below the 50 day moving average, which sits around 4200. The 200 day moving average, which sits around 4,410 still offers significant resistance for any positive momentum into the end of the year.

    Investors should be looking to utilise options strategies to protect their profits and manage their risk in this type of market. Remain attuned to the news from overseas particularly from China, Italy and the US regarding their economic growth and debt issues. Monitor the performance of the US dollar for a guide to the future direction of commodities and equities prices.

    The S&P/ASX 200 is currently trading at 4190 and looks to be setting up to test support again around the 4150 level near-term. Key levels for the index next week will be 4150 and 4350, with 4200 the key pivot level. Expect to see volatility to remain elevated as the market participants look for direction in these uncertain times.

    By Michael Hevern
    MDS Trading Desk

    MDS Financial Advisory Services offers general advice on trading options to generate consistent steady income on your investment portfolio. Call 1300 610 024 for further information.

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