Economics News Today
* International Merchandise Imports for January
* Foreign Exchange Transactions and Holdings of Official Reserve Assets for January.
U.S. Markets
U.S. markets recovered overnight, after strong corporate earnings results and a further round of corporate M&A deals. Stock gains were led by the materials and energy sectors, but retailers also rose after M&A activity. The gains came despite a mid-session pullback, after Israel’s foreign minister warned that the two Iranian warships that were crossing the Suez Canal into the Mediterranean Sea were seen as “provocations” that Israel cannot ignore.
The S&P 500 stock index has now doubled from its GFC low, with the market capitalisation of the S&P 500 now about $US12 trillion, compared with the $US6.9 trillion during the selloff in early 2009.
The Fed Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes showed the Fed is more optimistic about the U.S. economic outlook, raising their growth outlook for 2011, as they expected inflation to remain low and unemployment to remain high.
In economic news U.S. home construction rose 15% in January to the highest level since September, boosted by multi-family homes, and producer prices (PPI) also showed mild gains, which should ease inflation concerns.
In coporate news:
* Discount retailer Family Dollar Stores surged 22% after receiving an unsolicited takeover bid;
* Dell jumped 13% after the computer maker reported 4Q earnings tripled, thanks to strong demand from corporate customers and lower component costs
* Deere gained 2% after fiscal 1Q earnings doubled, helped by agricultural-equipment sales in the U.S. and Canada.
The Dow closed up 0.5% (or 62 points) at 12,288, while in the broader market the S&P 500 index was up 0.6% (or 8 points) at 1,336 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq ended up 0.8% (or 21 points) at 2,826.
Sectors that make up the S&P index delivered solid performances, with outperformers including the Materials and Energy sectors up 1.3%, and Industrials and Financials 0.5%.
European Markets
European stock markets rose overnight to two-and-a-half year highs, led by the financials. The Stoxx Europe 600 index gained 0.4% above its highest closing level since August 2008. Investor sentiment was boosted by some solid earnings news, as the French and German markets rose to levels unseen since 2008.
In London the FTSE 100 index reversed the losses of the previous session. The Bank of England (BoE) has forecast that the British economy will likely avoid a double-dip recession, despite suffering contraction in the final quarter of last year. Inflation is expected to hold well above its target of 2 percent this year, rangeing between 4% to 5% near-term. However, the central bank, in releasing its quarterly economic report, also predicted annual inflation would hold “well above” its target of 2.0 per cent this year, and would fluctuate between 4.0 and 5.0 per cent in the near term. Financials continued to lead the gains after the encouraging results from Barclays and the French bank Societe Generale is seen as signalling that the turnaround of the banks, that suffered severely from the GFC, is underway.
In London the FTSE 100 index closed up 0.8% (or 48 points) at 6,085, the German DAX was up 0.2% (or 14 points) at 7,414, while in France the CAC was up 1.0% (or 41 points) at 4,171.
Asian Markets
Asian markets ended mixed yesterday. The Japanese market hit a 9-month high as exporters led the gains on the back of a weaker yen, and as the US dollar hit a 2-month high against the yen.
In Hong Kong the market has bounced off a key support level that has been in place for the past 4 months. In China the Shanghai Composite rose for a fifth straight session, boosted by steelmakers, which were bought up as they were able to pass on production cost hikes. However the Chinese inflation data showing a 4.9 percent rise in prices could provide some headwinds for the market amid fears that further tightening measures may be required.
In China the SSE Composite closed up 0.9% (or 25 points) at 2,924, while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng Index was up 1.1% (or 257 points) at 23,157 and in Japan the Nikkei 225 Index was up 0.6% (or 62 points) at 10,808. The Indian market has jumped nearly five per cent in a 4-day rally as bargain hunters stepped in after its recent sharp sell-off last week.
Commodities
The Dollar Index was lower at 78.24 on a higher Euro, while the Australian Dollar last traded just above parity at 100.32. Commodities were generally higher.
For the session the Benchmark crude NYMEX for December delivery was up 0.8% (or $US0.69) to settle at $US85.01. Copper prices back at 2-year highs. Copper for December delivery was down -1.5% (or -6.6 cents) at $US4.4745. December gold was up marginally 0.1% at $US1,374.30.
ASX Market News
AAD – Ardent Leisure Group the theme park operator, reported 1H11 net profit was up 130 per cent, and says all its divisions have strong growth momentum heading into the 2H11.
ALZ – Australand has forecast earnings to grow by at least five percent in 2011 after returning to profitability in 2010 and says the outlook for residential, industrial and office sectors remains positive.
ARP – ARB Corporation, the automotive group, has reported a double-digit lift in 1H11 net profit amid strong sales growth and says it expects reasonable growth for the FY11.
BHP – BHP Billiton reported a 71.5 percent rise in 1H11 net profit and is confident of the outlook for commodities as emerging markets continue to drive growth.
BOQ – Bank of Queensland has cut its full year profit guidance and warned of flat dividends, due to the effect of Queensland floods and Cyclone Yasi.
BTA – Biota Holdings, the influenza vaccine developer, has slumped 16% after reportig a 1H11 loss, but says it aims to prioritise programs that are likely to lead to near term commercial returns.
COF – Coffey International has slumped 14% after reporting a 1H11 net loss of $4.7 million, but it expects a better second half performance.
CSL – CSL, the global blood products and vaccines maker, reported a 19 percent fall in 1H11 profit, and expects FY11 profit to decline around 10 percent, at the current exchange rates.
DMP – Domino’s Pizza Enterprises, the fast food supplier, posted a 17 percent rise in 1H11 net profit, upgrading full year guidance to 15 percent growth.
DXS – Dexus Property Group has upgraded its FY11 earnings guidance after returning to profitability and reported an interim net profit after tax of $294.4 million for 1H11.
GCL – Gloucester Coal has increased 1H11 profit by 28 percent on the back of strong coking coal sales.
GPT – GPT Group, the Property investor, says it has sold a portfolio of senior living communities in the US for $US890 million.
MRM – Mermaid Marine the supplier of marine services to the oil and gas industry, has reported a small jump in 1H11 profit, and is predicting a stronger second half.
QAN – Qantas 1H11 results, due out today, are expected to include a fourfold increase in profit after improvement in global aviation markets, and a possible resumption of dividends.
SKC – Sky City the casino operator says its 1H11 normalised net profit rose 2.1 percent to $51 million, as revenue was steady in Auckland but softer in Darwin after the introduction of smoking bans.
SAI – SAI Global, the applied information provider, has reported 1H11 profit up 23 percent, and says full year profit will grow by another third.
SMX – SMS Management and Technology has posted a 15 per cent rise in 1H11 net profit.
TRS – The Reject Shop posted a 16 percent fall in 1H11 net profit, but could not provide guidance for the FY11 due to uncertainty about the costs to the company of the Queensland floods.
WDC – Westfield Group has returned to profitability with more than $1 billion in profit as the group’s restructure provides the platform for long term growth.
Local Corporate Reporting
ACP – Abacus Property Group Interim 2011 Results
ABC – Adelaide Brighton Ltd Full year 2010 Results
AMP – AMP Ltd Full year 2010 Results
ASX – ASX Ltd Interim 2011 Results
EDT – EDT Retail Trust Interim 2011 Results
LLC – Lend Lease Corp Interim 2011 Results
OGC – Oceanagold Full year 2010 Results
NHC – New Hope Corp Ltd Quarterly Activities Report
QAN – Qantas Airways Interim 2011 Results
STO - Santos Ltd Full year 2010 Results
WES – Wesfarmers Ltd Interim 2011 Results
WDC – Westfield Retail Trust Interim 2011 Results
ANN – Ansell Ltd Interim 2011 Ex-dividend date
GUD – G.U.D. Holdings Interim 2011 Ex-dividend date
OZL – OZ Minerals Full year 2010 Ex-dividend date
Market Summary
ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – higher
US ADRs – Higher
Commodities Stock Index up 1.0%
Gold Stocks Index up 1.1%
Oil Stocks Index up 1.2%
By Michael Hevern
Head of Research