Morning Market Wrap
Bargain Hunters See Value
US Stocks closed higher Friday, led by financial companies up over 4% after the US senate passed a financial overhaul bill, as bargain hunter stepped in.
The SPI Futures is below key level of 4400, the ASX is set to open higher as the SPI closed up 58 points (or 1.3%) at 4,358; US positive lead. Huge volatility in the past few weeks will impact this weeks trading, with key levels this week are 4000 and 4600.
US Markets
US Markets Sees Bargain Hunters (and Short Covering)
Senate Passes Banking Reforms
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.25%, to 10193, but was down 4.0% for the week (off 2.3% YTD), its largest weekly drop since early May when the market dropped in the “flash crash”. The Standard & Poor’s 500 climbed 1.5%, to 1088, but was down 4.2% for the week (off 2.5% YTD). All of the S&P 500′s sectors ended Friday’s session in the green, led by financials. Metals and materials companies, enjoyed a relief rally on Friday as investors stepped back into the most beaten-down commodity-based stocks. The Nasdaq Composite rose 1.1%, to 2229, but was down 5.0% for the week (off 1.8% YTD).
UK markets (FTSE) finished down 0.2% at 5,063 (down 4.0% for the week) and the German DAX finished down 0.7% (down 3.7% for the week). In Europe the concerns over the debt issues eased as they saw a bounce in Miners and Financials. Strength in commodity-based stocks supported markets from further falls.
SP500: up 1.5% at 1,088 (down 4.2% for week)
DOW up 1.3% at 10,193 (down 4.0% for week)
Broadly Higher – Investors Bargain Hunt – Despite Europe Debt Issues
NASDAQ: up 1.1% at 2,229 (down 5.2% for week)
Dollar Index: Euro Recovers from 4-year Lows
A$ up 82.32 (recovers from 10-month Lows)
FTSE: down 0.2% at 5,063 – Financials & Miners Bonuce (down 4.0% for week)
DAX down 0.7% – Europe Runs Scared (down 3.7% for week)
Markets Sell-off over Debt has unveiled Value
CHINA: up 1.1% at 2,583 – (down 4.4% for week)
HSI down 0.2% (down 3.3% for week)
Oil: down 1.1% a ($70.55) (down 1.6% for week)
Recovers from 3-Week 25% Sell-off and focus still on spread of oil spill in Gulf of Mexico
Gold: down 1.0% at ($1,177) (down 4.2% for week)
Commodities Recover;
SPI: Below Key 4400 ASX
SPI up 58 (1.3%) at 4358 (down 4.1% for week)
ASX News
The SPI Futures is below key level of 4400 the ASX is set to open lower as the SPI closed up 58 points (or 1.3%) at 4,358; U.S. posoitive lead.
Huge volatility in the past few weeks, key levels this week are 4000 and 4600.
AUD – bounces off to 10 months lows as investors start to see sell off as over extented near term.
ANZ – The Fitch Ratings Agency has upgraded ANZ’s credit rating to AA- positive (from stable) citing improved earnings and potential diversifiction through its Asian expansion as improving its financial profile.
BHP – The Big Miner says the proposed tax on resource super profits (RSPT) should be leived on the value of minerals alone and vary commodity by commodity.
BRM – Iron ore explorer Brockman Resources is in a trading halt pending an announcement regarding market speculation over
arrangements with Chinese steel giant Sinosteel.
HSP – has sweetened bid from $5.50 to $5.75/share. Shares closed at $5.24.
ILU – Joins chorus on Henry Tax. Tax is unfair citing compliance cost s burdens and the fact that to ILU sharholders who have forgone $650million in dividends in the past 3 years,
and now that operations are about to become profitable they wuill be hit by the resources tax.
SHL – likely to sell-off as it says FY10 result will fall short due to government’s cut to Medicare fees for pathology services
SIP – SIGMA was up 37% after it has a takeover offer, valuing the company at about $707 million.
PSA – PETSEC ENERGY LTD intends to grow its current reserves significantly during the next three years, by exploring
and developing its China oil fields.
RIO – will achieve almost double the price for its iron ore after securing a price agreement with major Asian steel mills except those in China.
Market volatility will continue near termas world investors come to terms with the ramifications of the credit squeeze and new regulatory regimes, but investors are starting to do some bargain hunting.
We think the trading strategy is to get small, reduce you exposure to equities, start to look for value. Be aware of short covering rallies.
ASX – to open higher
US & UK/Europe – US Recovers
US ADRs – Broadly Higher!!!…
BHP up 5.8% & RIO up 6.6%; AWC up 6.9%
ANZ up 8.9% & NAB up 5.2%
NEM up 0.5%, JHX up 1.%, NWS up 2.0%
Commodities Stock Index up 1.9%
Gold Stocks Index up 0.2%
Oil Stocks Index up 1.4%
By Michael Hevern
Head of Research