Archive for April, 2010

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  • Technical Analysis Essentials

    Friday, April 30th, 2010

    In this week’s FAQs we look at two essential tools for analysing charts: support & resistance, and trend lines.

    What is support and resistance?

    Support is a level where a share stops falling, or finds support as it falls. It will often bounce off this level more than once as buyers decide that the share is now cheap and add to their positions. Resistance is the opposite, where the share hits a price which stops its climb. It bounces back off the resistance and struggles to get above this level. These levels can often be formed by large buyers and sellers at a particular price or by investors and traders recognising the price as a critical level.

    Once a share falls below support it can become resistance as the share struggles to break back above the price. In a similar way a break up through resistance can become support, holding the share price up. A break in support or resistance can lead to a strong price movement.

    Support and Resistance

    To identify support or resistance levels in a share use the trend line drawing tool in Market Analyser located at the left hand side of the chart. The trend line tool is also located in the top toolbar. Support or resistance lines are normally horizontal as they occur at the same price level. Try to join up as many turning points as you can with the line. A minimum of 2 are required. Sometimes the share may move slightly beyond the level and it may be necessary to ignore some of the shadows on the candles when drawing the lines.

    In the chart above the resistance level becomes support once it’s broken and then a break below support was followed by a rapid fall in the share price.

    How do I draw a trend line?

    A trend line is similar to a support or resistance line, but instead of being horizontal the line slopes up or down. A trend line is drawn by connecting the troughs or peaks in the share price as it moves up and down. An up trend line is drawn underneath the share price to connect the higher lows and can be used to identify when the share price changes trend. A down trend line is drawn on top of the share to connect the lower highs and can be used to identify when the share stops falling.

    When you are drawing trend lines aim to get as many turning points touching the line as possible. As with drawing support and resistance lines sometimes you may ignore the some of the shadows on the candles to get a line of best fit. If possible when you draw trend lines ignore the very highest point or very lowest point as these can be skewed by rapid movement. In Market Analyser use the trend line drawing tool located on the left side of the chart to draw the trend lines.

    Trend Lines

    Once you have drawn a trend line you can draw a parallel line in Market Analyser to create a channel. Right click on the trend line and click on Duplicate Trendline. A new trend line will appear which you can drag wherever you want, by holding down your left mouse button when your cursor is on the line.

    The upper boundary of the channel marks the top extreme of the price movement and can be used to identify potential turning points in the share.


    If you haven’t yet tried Market Analyser, sign up for a free trial!

    Jeff Cartridge
    Education Manager

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    Friday, 30th April 2010 Morning Wrap

    Friday, April 30th, 2010

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (852Kb).

    General Advice Onl
    ***********************************************
    In this morning’s wrap…

    SP500 up 1.3% – ticks above 1200
    Earnings Continue to Support; Financials & Miners Recover;
    DOW just above 11,000;

    NASDAQ up 1.6%
    HP Buys Palm ($US1.2bn) 23% Premium;

    Dollar Index: Above 82 Key Level
    US$ Lower;
    A$ up 93.02

    FTSE: up 0.6% – eases
    Miners & Financials Recover
    DAX up 1% & CAC up 1.4%

    CHINA: down 1.1%
    China: Concerns Over Small Cap Valuations
    Hang Seng down 1.0%;

    Oil: up 2.3% ($85)
    Demand Concerns Eases

    Gold: down 0.3% ($1168)
    Commodities Lower;
    Dollar Lower

    SPI Futures up 39 (up 0.8%)
    Overseas European Markets Recover

    ASX News
    MQG – FY profits up 21%; 1H Net Income rose to $571m from $267m
    CTX – drops plan to buy 302 Exxon service stations
    BTA – hammered after royalties income down 70%
    VBA – Air NZ considering Trans-tasman alliance
    FMG – Forrest selling down stake, has to pay $84m in court action.

    US Reporting continues this week:
    Thu:Conoco; Kelloggs;P&G
    Fri:Chevron

    ASX – to open higher
    US & UK/Europe – recover

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    Sedgman Secures $50 million NSW Coal Contract

    Friday, April 30th, 2010

    Sedgman Limited (SDM) confirmed it has signed a contract exceeding $50 million to Engineer, Procure and Construct (EPC) a new Coal Handling and Preparation Plant (CHPP) at the Narrabri North coal mine in New South Wales.  The mine, located 28km south of the NSW town of Narrabri, is owned by Narrabri Coal Operations Pty Ltd (NCO) – a joint venture company in which listed Australian coal miner Whitehaven Coal Limited (ASX Code: WHC) has a 70 per cent operating interest.  The new CHPP is part of NCO’s Stage Two longwall mining development plan to lift production to 6 million tonnes a year to produce Thermal and PCI coals.

    Sedgman’s Managing Director Mark Read said the contract win was particularly significant given the competitive tender process involved and reinforced Sedgman’s track record in competitively delivering coal projects within the key New South Wales market.  “The award of the contract was due in part to Sedgman’s approach to safety and the environment, design innovation and project execution record,” Mr Read said.  “We are now looking forward to delivering this CHPP project on time and on budget and developing a long term client relationship with Whitehaven Coal and its joint venture partners in the Narrabri North mine.”

    The new CHPP facility will include reclamation capacity of 1,000 tonnes per hour of coal from the existing raw coal stockpile, a rotary breaker, a dry screening process, dense media bath and a PCI coal processing circuit.

    Mr Read said winning the new Narrabri North CHPP contract further supported Sedgman’s positive earnings outlook for FY2011 and beyond as global business conditions improved.  “We expect to continue to grow our order book and capitalise on the increasing number of project opportunities both in Australia and abroad,” he said.

    Sedgman is recognised internationally for its coal processing and materials handling technologies and is currently focused on a $5.5 billion global pipeline of targeted project opportunities in coal and metals.”

    www.sedgman.com

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    East Coast Minerals Acquires Potash Project

    Friday, April 30th, 2010

    East Coast Minerals NL(ECM)(East Coast) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a conditional head of agreement (“HoA”) for acquisition from Exchange Minerals Limited (“Exchange”) 70% shareholding in a company known as Potash Holdings Pty Limited (“Potash”).

    In turn, Potash is the owner of 70% of the shares in a company known as West Coast Potash Pty Limited (“WCP”) which is the owner of 13 contiguous tenements in the Southern Carnarvon Basin of Western Australia. Below is a map of the location of the tenements. Potash has the right to increase its shareholding in WCP to 100%.

    Potash is important for agriculture because it improves water retention, yield, nutrient value, taste, colour, texture and disease resistance of food crops. It has wide application to fruit and vegetables, rice, wheat and other grains, sugar, corn, soybeans, palm oil and cotton, all of which benefit from the nutrient’s quality enhancing properties. There are no substitutes for potash as a key ingredient in fertiliser.

    Demand for food and animal feed has been on the rise since 2000. The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service (ERS) attributes the trend to average annual population increases of 75 million people around the world.  Potash prices have soared in recent years. What was once a commodity worth about $200 a tonne, peaked at US$872.50 per tonne in 2009, which is a record high. Potash prices are expected to increase significantly by 2020.

    The proposed acquisition has been entered into with Exchange, which has been a major supporting shareholder of ECM since late 2008. In addition, Exchange and a number of its contacts have also decided to provide ECM with a $2 million Convertible Loan facility which is secured by a charge. The proposed acquisition is subject to contract and satisfactory legal documentation and shareholder approval.

    www.eastcoastminerals.com

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    Caltex Acquisition of Mobil Service Stations Fails Due To ACCC Opposition

    Friday, April 30th, 2010

    On 26 May 2009, Caltex Australia (CTX) entered into an agreement to acquire 302 Mobil service station sites. The agreement was subject to Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) and Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) review and clearance.

    On 2 December 2009, the ACCC announced its decision to oppose the acquisition and set out its reasons in its Public Competition Assessment on 9 February 2010. Caltex does not agree with the ACCC’s position, but has since engaged in discussions with Mobil in relation to possible solutions to the ACCC’s concerns. The parties have now agreed they will not proceed with the current proposal. However, Caltex will continue to explore opportunities to grow its business.

    Caltex remains focussed on improving its base business and driving growth in earnings through cost and capital efficiency, organic growth in marketing and leveraging our integrated supply chain.

    www.caltex.com.au

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    Thursday, 29th April 2010 Morning Wrap

    Thursday, April 29th, 2010

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1192Kb).

    General Advice Only
    ***********************************************
    In this morning’s wrap…

    SP500 up 0.7% – stays below 1200
    SP500 4Q Profits up 176%, EPS up 9%; Financials Recover;
    DOW just above 11,000;

    NASDAQ down 0.2%
    HP Buys Palm ($US1.2bn) 23% Premium;

    Dollar Index: Above 82 Key Level
    US$ Higher;
    A$ up 92.36

    FTSE: down 0.3% – lower high
    S&P Rates Spain Downgraded (AA); Miners & Financials Weigh
    CAC 1.5%

    Germany: down 1.2% – Breaks Support
    Fear On the Rise

    CHINA: down 0.3%
    China: Sinopec Refines 20% More Oil in Qtr
    Hang Seng down 1.4%;

    Oil: up 0.1% ($83)
    Demand Concerns

    Gold: up 0.8% ($1171)
    Commodities Lower;
    Dollar Higher

    SPI Futures up 7 (up 0.1%)
    Overseas European Markets Tank

    ASX News
    ANZ – 1H profit up 35% ($2+bn); moving to Asian focus –(Mike Smith)
    VBA – Air NZ considering Trans-tasman alliance
    TLS – losing broadband pricing war to Optus
    FMG – Forrest selling down stake

    US Reporting continues this week:
    Thu:Conoco; Kelloggs;P&G
    Fri:Chevron
    ASX – to open flat
    UK/Europe – tanking

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    Eastland Medical Systems Malaria Trial Successful

    Thursday, April 29th, 2010

    Eastland Medical Systems Ltd (EMS) in conjunction with its UK clinical consultants ProtoPharma Limited announces today the very positive results of the recently completed Phase IIa clinical trial of ArTiMist™, a patented sublingual delivery technology designed to administer the drug Artemether. ArTiMist™ was specifically designed to provide a rapid first line treatment of children with severe or complicated P. falciparum malaria, or uncomplicated P. falciparum malaria with gastrointestinal complications.

    The majority of deaths from severe malaria in young children are caused by the delayed administration of effective malaria treatments. Moreover, oral treatment is not adequate for patients who are suffering from vomiting and diarrhea and oral absorption (tablets) is slower and often not possible. It is a fact that many deaths occur due to delays in transferring a patient to a hospital setting where trained staff are on hand.

    The results show that ArTiMist™ was rapidly absorbed following first administration via the sublingual route. The new route of administration containing the new formula of Artemether was shown to be safe and well tolerated by patients. The three primary efficacy parameters were met and showed success in the reduction of parasite count within 24 hours after receiving the first dose.

    The addressable market for ArTiMist™ is large. It is estimated that alone there are over 90 million children under the age of 5 (the most vulnerable patient population) in sub-Sahara Africa at “high risk” of contracting malaria. It is further reported that children are prone to between 1.6-5.4 episodes of malaria each year. Data relating to the more virulent P. falciparum malarial strain indicate 86 million reported cases in Africa annually and 287 million estimated cases in the overall population. Based on these figures and on the distinct advantages of ArTiMist™ over IV quinine, we have internally estimated a potential market size of between 80 -100 million units in Africa for the <5 years old demographic alone. Asia represents also a large potential market even though the socio-economic and healthcare infrastructure are generally in better shape than in sub- Sahara Africa.

    www.eastlandmedical.com

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    Mt Isa Metals Acquires 11 Gold Tenements in Burkina Faso

    Thursday, April 29th, 2010

    The Board of Mt Isa Metals Limited (MET) is pleased to advise that the company has finalised agreements that provide an option to acquire a 100% interest in eleven highly prospective gold exploration permits in Burkina Faso, West Africa.   The agreements provide access to multiple gold targets for the Company that warrant immediate exploration investment.

    The permits comprise a total area of approximately 2,400km2 and are located in multiple greenstone belts across Burkina Faso. The permits include approximately 1,500km2 of highly prospective greenstone belt rocks – host to a significant number of large gold deposits in the region.

    A significant number of recent gold discoveries in West Africa have been facilitated by follow up of artisanal mining activity. MET is pleased to report that the optioned permits contain seventeen (17) formal artisanal mining sites focussed on exploitation of near‐surface gold occurrences.

    The agreements provide for a three year option period and include, an up front payment of US$18,500 (single lump sum signing payment covering all agreements) followed by per permit payments ranging from US$7,500 to US$10,00 at the end of a 60 day due diligence period. The options can be maintained by staged annual cash payments ranging from US$10,000 to US$15,000 per permit at the end of the first year of the option period, up to US$35,000 to US$45,000 per permit at the end of the third year of the option period.   If MET elects to participate to the end of the third year 100% ownership of the permits will be transferred to MET. MET has a right to withdraw from the agreements at any time. The vendors will be entitled to a 1.0% royalty over any gold produced from the properties.

    Managing Director Peter Spiers commented, “We are very pleased to have concluded these option agreements in Burkina Faso. The agreements provide MET with access to an exciting portfolio of gold properties that we believe are highly prospective for future gold discoveries.”   “This is a key first step for MET in establishing a portfolio of gold properties in the region. The gold properties will significantly enhance the value of the company’s exploration portfolio and will complement our core base metal properties in the Mt Isa region which continue to yield exciting results particularly with respect to copper exploration.”

    www.mtisametals.com.au

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    Northern Energy Corporation Increases Hard Coking Coal Resource

    Thursday, April 29th, 2010

    Northern Energy Corporation Limited (NEC) is pleased to announce an increase in the hard coking coal resources at its Maryborough Project to 83 Million tonnes (Mt) comprising an initial Indicated Resource of 9.5Mt and an Inferred Resource of 73.5Mt (previously 57Mt Inferred Resource). In addition the potential of this area to host a more substantial open cut resource has been further quantified through the identification of an Exploration Target of 105-137Mt to a depth of 250m.

    “The establishment of an Indicated Resource over the Colton Mine Area is a further step towards establishment of a mining operation within the Maryborough Project area” said NEC’s Managing Director Keith Barker. “These resources have resulted from detailed modelling of the extensive data base generated by the Company’s geological team comprising data from both NEC drilling and historical drilling dating back to 1910”.   “Conceptual mine plans drawn up outside of the initial mining area have demonstrated the potential for substantially larger open cut resources at depths beyond that originally identified based on the historical data available at the time. This earlier assessment dictated the exploration approach adopted by NEC to date. It is considered that this area of the basin has been under explored both by historical and recent drilling and further drilling is required to address this. The exploration target quantifies the potential and further drilling is planned to delineate additional resources.” Mr Barker commented. “The ongoing exploration and evaluation work to define the extent of the resource and the potential for increasing production rates from the project will be conducted in parallel with the development of the Colton Mine”.

    “Together with last week’s announcement of the off take and capital injection agreement with Xinyang Iron & Steel this substantial uplift in the Project’s resources and ongoing potential for further increases establishes Northern Energy as an emerging coking coal player. This is at a time when the industry is consolidating and as a result the number of opportunities for investors seeking exposure to the coal market in general and coking coal in particular are diminishing.”

    www.northernenergy.com.au

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    Wednesday, 28th April 2010 Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, April 28th, 2010

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1102Kb).

    General Advice Only
    ***********************************************
    In this morning’s wrap…

    SP500 down 2.3% – cracks below 1200
    Goldmans Public Enemy No.1; Financials Lower;
    DOW below 11,000;

    NASDAQ down 2.0%
    Cracks;

    Dollar Index: Above 82 Key Level
    US$ Higher;
    A$ down 91.60

    Volatility Spikes!!
    Fear On the Rise

    FTSE: down 2.6% – lower high
    S&P Rate Greek Bonds Junk; Miners & Financials Weigh
    DAX down 2.7% & CAC down 3.8%

    CHINA: down 2.1%
    China: Bank of China 1Q Profit up 41%
    Hang Seng down 1.6%;

    Oil: down 2% ($82)
    Demand Concerns

    Gold: up 1.2% ($1167)
    Commodities Lower;
    Dollar Higher

    SPI Futures down 90 (down 1.8%)
    Overseas Markets Tank

    ASX News
    RIO – better t/o target now says HSBC
    NEM – #1 US Gold – Boddington grades slightly down(Nov.)
    Aus. PPI up 1% in 1Q by most in a year, cost rising/inflation

    US Reporting continues this week:
    Tue: Dupont;Ford;3M; Broadcomm
    Wed: DOW; Corning;Hess;Sprint
    Thu:Conoco; Kelloggs;P&G
    Fri:Chevron

    ASX – to open lower
    US & UK/Europe – tanking

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