Presented by Michael Hevern
MDSFinancial
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Good Morning and Welcome to Cube Wrap for Monday, the 24th of November, I’m Michael Hevern for Cube Financial.
The information provided within this presentation is general advice only and you should consult the services of a financial professional in order to ascertain whether the information is applicable to your investment strategies and risk profile. Again, it is general advice only.
Well the Dow had a late session rally on Friday closing up 2.5% though it was still down 5% for the week.The Fed came out and said that the US economy is in for growth and the week is coming close and that was ignored in the late session as we saw initial covering. Yet the options expiry on Friday as well, so that added to the volatility.
We have Obama speaking on Monday night to the American people, so that will be keenly watched by the market. We see that Obama has picked neither for the treasury post and that was announced towards the end of the market session, so that was also given some credit as to the support in the market.
We saw Citigroup for another 94 cents to 20%, it has taken its losses for the week to 60% and 72% for the month of November as it review its options going forward. We also saw the autos to weigh for the week that they did have a recent session on Friday with General Motors up 6.3% finishing up 1.7% for the week, but Ford lost 21% for the week.
The Index Majors were all down to meet 4 weeks lows there with the DOW down 5.3% for the week. S&P 500 down 8.4% for the week. We see that they still have not broken that down trending line yet and the S&P 500 is still below that previous support level. Even though we did have a big rally on Friday the Bulls are still not in control there. We see that NASDAQ was also down still following that downtrend channel and still unable to break above that stage. We need to close above that plus 1500 level in order to break that level at the downtrend channel. We are seeing that Apple, Microsoft, and Cisco were all up. Apple was up 2.5%, Microsoft up 12%, and Cisco up 5% for the session.
We saw a grade across the board with the other ADRs as well with the AIG up 11%. Alcoa up 23%, Alumina was up 26%, BHP and RIO up 18% and 15% respectively.
We also saw James Hardie up 8.5% and Newscorp was 8% and the banks for ADRs were up as well with ANZ up 20% and NAB up 10% for the session.
We saw the gold stocks index up 28% to close the week and the oil stocks index was also up 11% on the final day of the week. We see that Newmont was up 25% on the session, so that should bode well for the gold stocks in out market. In the UK, we saw that market finished up slightly up 1% still below its mid levels there and still testing the lows of last October. We see that the oil stocks and miners did improve and we also saw the banks recover.
We saw energy stocks up with BP and BG Group up between 2% and 7% on the session and also the heavy weight miners also gained with Anglo, Xstrata, BHP, and Anglo-America all up between 9% and 15% on the session.
Banks recovered with Royal Bank of Scotland up 4% and Barclays up 5%. Share holders confirmed capital raising plans next week. Barclays and we saw the defensive pullback with Smith and Kline down 4% on the session.
European Markets
Elsewhere in Europe, we saw the CAC drop 3.3% and the DAX down 3.1% on the session. In the Asian markets, we saw that NIKKEI was up over 2%. We can see there it still has been broken above the downtrend line at this stage but it is bouncing off the lower end and there is a close above the 8400 level. The Yen is still stronger and they would low volumes ahead of the 3 days working for the Japanese market Market. The autos continued to suffer as Toyota and Honda were down 2% and 2.5% respectively. Also the exporters weigh on a stronger Yen which slowed down 1% and Cannon down 2.3% on the session.
Asian Markets>
Elsewhere in Asia, we saw the Hong Kong down 2.9% and the Chinese shares were down 0.7% on the session. In the commodities, we see that oil closed below 50 dollars and back of the lower demand. It did break its 5 day losing streak though and to finish higher for the session. We see that there was also an attack on the Turkish Pipeline.
We saw gold spike up to over 800 dollars at one stage, but finished around the 792 level up around about 6% on the session and was to do with the flight to safety, but also there was a rollover of contracts there so there might be volatility due to that.
In our market, we see the SPI here today as we can see that actually give you a big of a heads up there was broken and closed above the downtrend channel that it has experienced in the last 14 days and during that time it slid 26%, so we are overdue for a bit of respite there.
In our market, we see that apparently there is going to be a hook up for the regulators to talk about what the impact in the short selling and how it has added to the volatility in the past week with the short selling bans coming off. Stocks is suffering an out market included OZ minerals, David Jones, Newscorp and among others and BHP has vowed to cut production in Brazil, that is a factory over there and they also owned up to the fact that their shipments are likely to fall around that 28% in the next two months of the year.
Gold production is down for the year, the lowest level it has been for 19 years. That is despite the fact that for the third quarter we have record gold prices Australian dollar equivalents with the price of gold going from 965 dollars to 1200 dollars down in Australian dollars, so miners haven’t been able to take advantage of that with their inability to ramp up production and access price market on Friday saying that they are looking to double their book value in the next few years to 2012 on the back of growth in the Asian business.
The stocks was up 40% on the back of that I think it’s probably an over reaction there but it was a significant move just on Friday. AGK credit ratings were upgraded and that saw a good move for that stock and it has held up very well in the weight of the market meltdown. Fortescue was up 50% which increased their exports or going to increase their exports to China going forward and they have a couple of new contracts there.
Gold stocks are likely to jump today on the back of the spiking in the gold price and also there is buying the gold stocks on Friday afternoon as well. Our market is likely to open higher and there will be some bargain hunting. Banks went through a big turn around on Friday and managed to follow through with that as well.
Should you have any questions about the information provided within this presentation, please call the equities and options desk or the CFD advising desk on the numbers provided, and as always trade carefully.