Archive for January, 2009

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  • Friday 16th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Friday, January 16th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1052Kb).

    *************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices

    DOW up 0.2%

    • Financial Sector struggling; Citigroup and Bank of America in the news
    • JP Morgan profit down 76%
    • Bounces off 8000 level

    NASDAQ up 1.5%

    • Microsoft job cuts; Yahoo not selling
    • Steve Jobs on medical leave
    • Volumes up (Options expiring)

    FTSE down 1.4%

    • Energy stocks down
    • HSBC may need further capital
    • ECB may cut interest rate below 2% in March

    NIKKEI down 4.9%

    • Yen continues strong

    Commodities
    Oil down 5%

    • below $40 mark ($34)

    Gold down 0.2% ($809)
    Silver up 0.4%
    Aluminium down 0.9%
    Lead up 2%
    Zinc flat

    Oil stocks index up 0.7%
    Gold stocks index up 4.3%
    Commodities stocks index up 2%

    Local Index
    SPI up 19 points overnight

    • Below critical 3600 level

    ASX News
    Caltex reported 30% increase in profit
    Woodside halting OceanWay project
    BHP & RIO to recover based on ADRs
    Short Selling Ban
    Gold stocks to recover
    Energy to be flat
    ASX to open slightly up

    Bank of America executives land in the Hudson River

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    Ford cuts off the credit, home loans surge

    Thursday, January 15th, 2009

    Ford has announced it will no longer provide finance to private car buyers. The cuts to the Ford Credit arm will result in 160 job losses, and are expected to have a significant impact on the dealerships, particularly in regional areas where the dependence on Ford Credit for retail finance is higher. Several dealers speaking to The Age are considering switching to selling Japanese and Korean cars instead.

    More information:
    http://www.afr.com/home/viewer.aspx?ATL://1231970251056&section=financial_services&title=Ford+Credit+Australia+winds+back+operations

    http://www.theage.com.au/national/ford-set-for-job-losses-20090114-7h14.html?page=-1

    Stock for your watchlist:
    F.N Ford Motor Company (New York Stock Exchange)

    In better news, first home buyer mortgage applications have surged and the number of home loan approvals rose 1.3 % in November, when the government boosted first home owner grants. Lower interest rates, government incentives and soaring rents have contributed to the rebound in borrowing by first home owners, and in the process, seem to have stemmed the fall in the housing market.

    More information:
    http://www.theage.com.au/national/first-home-buyer-loans-surge-as-grants-kick-in-20090114-7h1b.html

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,24914426-25658,00.html

    http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24911550-664,00.html

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    Thursday 14th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Thursday, January 15th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1233Kb).

    **************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices

    DOW down 0.3%

    S&P 500 up

    • Recovery by Citi, Financials and Energy

    NASDAQ up 0.4%

    • Bernanke: Fiscal stimulus not enough

    FTSE down 0.6%

    • 5th day down
    • Barclays down 10%, Lloyds down 5%
    • BP and Shell up 1.5%

    NIKKEI down 4.7%

    • At the next level of support
    • Autos and exporters down

    Commodities
    Oil down 0.6%

    • below $40 mark ($38)
    • prices recover despite demand and supply

    Gold down 0.1% ($822)
    Silver up 1.2%
    Aluminium flat
    Lead up 0.3%
    Zinc up 4.7 %
    Copper up 3.9%

    Oil stocks index up 1.5%
    Gold stocks index up 2.5%
    Commodities stocks index up 2%

    Local Index
    SPI flat, still below critical 3650 level

    ASX News
    Transurban: no to MIG s M7 stake
    Alumina dividend revision
    Oz Minerals and Rio job cuts
    AUD down
    Gold stocks and Energy to recover
    ASX to open slightly positive

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    Japanese Carmakers Upbeat

    Wednesday, January 14th, 2009

    Japanese carmakers at the Detroit auto show are cautiously hopeful of growing their businesses in 2009, according to a Reuters report.

    Representatives from the major Japanese brands, while acknowledging the impact of the shrinking market, and their dependence on the gloomy US economy, were nonetheless upbeat about their expectations.

    This year will see several new products creating a buzz, particularly the next generation Toyota Prius, Honda s new low cost Insight hybrid, and the Mazda3 Compact. It s also hoped that the incoming Obama administration will quickly pass the proposed stimulus package and improve consumer sentiment.

    Stocks for watchlist

    7203.T Toyota Motor Company
    7267.T Honda Motor
    7261.T Mazda Motor

    Further Information:
    Reuters News Feed through Market Analyser

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    Wednesday 14th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, January 14th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (879Kb).

    Post to Twitter

    Tax cuts may be hurried through

    Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

    A report in The Australian is suggesting the Government s promised tax cuts could be brought forward a year, due to pressure from the International Monetary Fund and the worsening global economy.

    Treasurer Wayne Swan hasn t confirmed the report, but has said the Rudd Government is determined to take more decisive action should the international situation deteriorate further .

    While the IMF is recommending an increase in spending of 2% of global GDP, and more for countries with strong budget positions such as Australia, David Uren suggests the benefits of one-off bonuses would be short-lived at best. As Malcolm Turnbull says, it is the economic equivalent of a sugar hit .

    More information:

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24904684-601,00.html

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,24899204-16965,00.html

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    Tuesday 13th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (1044Kb).

    Post to Twitter

    Upcoming Rio Tinto Report

    Monday, January 12th, 2009

    Analysts are hoping Rio Tinto will provide more information on plans to shed 14,000 jobs worldwide, when it releases its quarterly production report on Thursday.

    The job cuts are part of Rio s aim to reduce its debt by $US10 billion by the end of 2009. Other measures have included asset sales and the temporary suspension of operations in its Western Australia mines. Reuters is also reporting that expansion work at a Canadian aluminium smelter has all but ground to a halt.

    Stock for your watchlist:
    RIO: Rio Tinto

    Further information:
    Australian Financial Review
    Reuters News Feed through Market Analyser

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    Monday 12th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Monday, January 12th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (929Kb).

    Post to Twitter

    Satyam Fraud to Hit Australian Companies

    Friday, January 9th, 2009

    It looks like several major Australian companies may be caught in the fallout of India s Satyam Computer scandal.

    Telstra, Qantas, Coles, NAB and Suncorp are among many local companies which may be adversely affected by the fraud which is being referred to as India s Enron .

    The Age is quoting a Qantas spokesman as describing any risk to business as manageable , while The Australian believes the affected companies have vowed to take action .

    The future of a $75 million software laboratory at Deakin University s Geelong campus is also uncertain, as are 2000 jobs which the eight-year project has created.

    Stocks for your watchlist:

    TLS: Telstra
    QAN: Qantas
    NAB: National Australia Bank
    SUN: Suncorp Metway

    Further Information:
    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,24889073-643,00.html

    http://business.theage.com.au/business/world-business/qantas-dodges-indian-software-scam-20090107-7bx4.html

    http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,24889172-664,00.html

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/01/08/2461447.htm

    Reuters News Feed through Market Analyser

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