Archive for January, 2009

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  • Shareholder Rights and Class Actions

    Friday, January 30th, 2009

    Lawyers look set to prosper from an upcoming raft of class actions, as shareholders are given greater access to sue insolvent companies.

    The High Court s recent and controversial Sons of Gwalia decision found that shareholders with a claim against a company that enters administration could participate in the distribution of its assets.

    Class actions are expected against Centro Properties Group, Centro Retail Trust and Opes Prime, and potentially against ABC Learning, Allco Finance Group, Octaviar, Credit Corp Group and Oz Minerals.

    All this is terrific news for lawyers, as is the growing trend of newly retrenched people seeking to sue ex-employers. Under normal conditions these people are more likely to move into new jobs instead.

    Litigation funders like IMF Australia, Comprehensive Legal Funding and Litigation Lending Services also anticipate a good year ahead.

    Stock for your watchlist:

    IMF IMF Australia (ASX)

    Further information:
    The Australian Financial Review

    The Age

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    Friday 30th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Friday, January 30th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDSFinancial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (756Kb).

    **********************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices

    DOW down 2.7%

    • new home sales worst on record
    • jobless claims worst since 1967

    S&P down 3.3%

    • hasn t managed to trade above the 50 day moving average

    NASDAQ down 3.2%

    • profit taking
    • Apple, Microsoft and Cisco down

    FTSE down 2.5%

    • Shell fourth quarter loss
    • IMF: World Trade down 45% in fourth quarter

    CAC and DAX down 2%

    NIKKEI up 1.8%

    • above 7900 support

    Commodities
    Oil down 1.1%

    • above $40 mark ($42)
    • OPEC considers more production cuts

    Gold up 2.2% ($908)

    • stimulus to create inflation

    Silver up 3%
    Nickel, copper, lead and zinc all down

    Local Index
    SPI down 96 points

    • RBA meeting on Tuesday

    ASX News
    Lendlease writedowns
    Tabcorp profits down, $11.5m bounced check
    Miners and Financials to weigh
    Gold spikes up
    RBA to cut interest rates
    ASX likely to open sharply lower

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    Interest rate cuts on the horizon

    Thursday, January 29th, 2009

    Economists are anticipating the Reserve Bank will cut interest rates dramatically next week, following signs that inflation pressures are easing.

    It s expected the RBA will cut the official cash rate by 1 percentage point, to a record low of 3.25%. There is also speculation the rate will drop further in the coming months, to 2.5% by midyear.

    In other related news:

    • businesses are taking around 56 days to pay bills, a sign of cash-flow problems associated with a lack of access to credit
    • the IMF has issued its gloomiest forecast yet, with expectations of the global economy growing just 0.5% this year
    • over the ditch, New Zealand s central bank has cut its official interest rates by 1.5 percentage points, to a record low of 3.5%

    Further information:

    The Age

    The Australian Financial Review

    Herald Sun

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    Thursday 29th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Thursday, January 29th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (900Kb).

    ************************************************************

    In this morning’s wrap…

    World Indices

    DOW up 2.5%

    • still above 8000 level
    • Good Bank / Bad Bank strategy

    SPI 500 up 3.4%

    NASDAQ up 3.3%

    • despite IMF forecast of global growth dropping to 0.5%
    • Apple, Microsoft and Cisco up

    FTSE up 2.4%

    • UK needs 20bn pounds a year to repair public finances

    NIKKEI up 0.6%

    • above 7900 level
    • Bank of Japan to spend $US16.9bn buying corporate debt

    Commodities
    Oil up 1.5%

    • above $40 mark ($42)
    • inventories up but gasoline supplies down

    Gold down 1.5% ($883)

    • upward rising channel

    Gold stocks index down 1%
    Commodities stocks index up 2.7%
    Oil stocks index up 2.1%

    Local Index
    SPI up 63 points

    • below critical 3550 level

    ASX News
    Woolworths: sales up
    Lihir: production up
    Boral: forecast downgrade
    Rio: capital raising speculation
    Westfield: writedown
    Strathfield: voluntary administration
    Gold: down
    Bank of New Zealand: 1.5% rate cut
    Financials likely to be up today
    ASX likely to open positive

    ADRs
    ANZ and NAB up 5%
    BHP up 4.5%
    RIO down 3%
    Newscorp up 10%

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    Westfield drops a $3bn bomb

    Wednesday, January 28th, 2009

    Westfield took the market by surprise last night when it announced a $3 billion asset write-down and a cut in dividend for 2009.

    The world s largest shopping centre owner attributes the loss to the fall in property value, and the expectation of a decrease in consumer spending for several years to come.

    While Westfield s distribution policy has not changed, the payout in 2009 is expected to drop 9% to somewhere between 97c and $1.

    Not surprisingly, the news has caused a sharp fall in the share price this morning.

    Stock for your watchlist:

    • WDC – Westfield Group (ASX)

    Further information:

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    Wednesday 28th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Wednesday, January 28th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (874Kb).

    ******

    In this morning’s wrap:

    World Indices
    DOW up 0.7%

    • despite poor economic news
    • Moody s to downgrade GE credit ratings
    • US home prices down
    • Dow still above 8000 mark

    S&P 500 up 1.1%

    NASDAQ up 1.2%

    • SUN beats forecast, sales up
    • Consumer sentiment down
    • Apple, Microsoft, Yahoo and Cisco up

    FTSE down 0.4%

    • Auto aid package

    NIKKEI up 4.9%

    • Above critical 7900 level
    • Yen down

    China and Hong Kong markets closed for New Year

    Commodities
    Oil down 8.3%

    • Above $40 mark ($42)
    • Demand down, supply up

    Gold down 1.3% ($897)

    • upward trending channel

    Silver down 1%
    Aluminium down 3%
    Lead down 4%
    Zinc down 4%
    Copper down 7%

    • negative lead for our miners

    Oil stocks index up 0.1%
    Gold stocks index down 1.5%
    Commodities stocks index up 0.5%

    Local Index
    SPI up 43 points

    • below critical 3450 level

    ADRs
    ANZ, NAB up
    Alcoa up 3%
    Alumina up 4%
    BHP and RIO up 5%
    Newscorp down 2%

    ASX News
    ABS to release CPI figures
    Woolworths and Lihir results due
    Oilsearch figures down
    Gold and Energy down
    ASX to open positive US holding in the face of poor economic news

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    Eating our way through the GFC

    Tuesday, January 27th, 2009

    Fast-food giant McDonald s has reported a soaring net profit rise for 2008, as consumers opt for low-cost meals as a way to cope with the global financial crisis.

    McDonald s posted a $US4.3 billion ($A6.55 billion) profit for 2008, up 80% on the $US2.3 billion ($A3.51 billion) profit of 2007.

    These results are indicative of the general trend of cost-focused companies and budget retailers to cope better than others, in times of economic stress.

    Stock for your watchlist:

    • MCD (NYSE)

    Further information:
    http://news.theage.com.au/breaking-news-business/mcdonalds-posts-80-per-cent-profit-rise-20090127-7q3w.html

    http://www.mcdonalds.com/corp/news/fnpr/2009/fpr_012609.html

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    Tuesday 27th January 2009 MDS Morning Wrap

    Tuesday, January 27th, 2009

    Presented by Michael Hevern
    MDS Financial

    Click here to watch the presentation.

    or

    Click here to download the mp3 audio recording (708Kb).

    *********
    In this morning’s wrap:

    World Indices
    DOW up 0.5%

    • AMEX earnings inline
    • Caterpillar earnings down, 5000 extra job cuts
    • Home Depot cutting 7000 jobs, or 2% workforce

    S&P 500 up 0.56% at 836

    • House sales up 6.5%

    NASDAQ up 0.7%

    • Apple, Microsoft and Cisco up
    • Downtrend of last 15 sessions broken

    FTSE up 3.9%

    • Barclays expect profit in February, will not seek bailout funds

    NIKKEI down 0.8%, below support 7900

    • Various markets closed for Chinese New Year
    • Japanese Yen down

    Commodities

    Oil down 1.6%

    • Above $40 ($46)

    Gold down -0.9% ($902)
    Silver up 1%
    Copper up 1%

    Local Index
    SPI up 16 points

    ASX News
    Crown approval for casino purchases
    Gold price up
    Financials likely to recover
    ASX likely to open positive

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    Jobs gets sick, Microsoft amputates staff in sympathy

    Friday, January 23rd, 2009

    Microsoft has announced it will cut up to 5,000 jobs – 5% of its total workforce – in an effort to save $US1.5 billion ($AUD2.3 billion). The cuts, to take effect over the next 18 months, are in response to a violent slowdown in spending , according to a report in The Age.

    The move comes after the company posted worse-than-expected second-quarter results, attributed to businesses curbing software purchases, and customers opting for cheaper versions of the Windows operating system.

    The company s share price fell 10% on the Nasdaq. The cuts are not expected to include Microsoft Australia employees.

    In related news, Intel Corp announced it will close five plants, and Seagate Technology said it plans to cut 2950 jobs.

    It was a better story for Google however, which reported a fourth-quarter profit that beat analysts estimates. Google is reaping the rewards of recession-hit businesses advertising on the search engine.

    Stocks for your watchlist (NASDAQ):

    MSFT.O Microsoft Corp
    INTC.O Intel Corp
    STX.O Seagate Technology
    GOOG.O Google Inc

    Further information:

    http://business.theage.com.au/business/world-business/microsoft-shocks-with-firstever-job-cuts-20090123-7o17.html

    http://business.theage.com.au/business/world-business/google-profit-beats-expectations-20090123-7o3j.html

    http://www.australianit.news.com.au/story/0,24897,24951523-15306,00.html

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    Iconic Australian Products and the Companies Behind Them

    Friday, January 23rd, 2009


    .

    Click here to view this article as a PDF.

    Among the countless products and brands to have come out of our wide brown land, some stand out in our minds as iconic. These are the products that have gone beyond being items of simple commerce to plant themselves firmly in our consciousness and cultural identity. With Australia Day upon us, and the current state of the share market raising more questions about where to invest, why not have a think about some of our most loved products, and the companies behind them?

    When you consider a list of iconic Australian products, it s interesting to see a trend towards lifestyle, nostalgia and an idealised image of Australian culture. Vegemite, VB and XXXX, the Hills Hoist, Holden cars, Four N Twenty Pies and clothes by Billabong and RM Williams – these are symbols of leisure and sunshine.

    Not many of us would think of electricity providers, IT, banks or financial services as iconic, even though these industries provide essential (or at least useful) services and keep many of us employed. To reach the status of icon, a product has to be timelessly attractive to consumers, which is also a fundamental box to check when looking for a good company to invest in.

    Vegemite is arguably Australia s favourite brand. A 2008 survey by IBM found Vegemite to be the world s most loved brand, more popular than Coca-Cola, Sony and Nike. The research also revealed that 98% of Vegemite consumers are Australian, so to have ranked so highly in a world-wide survey just highlights how strongly those happy little Vegemites feel about their product. We love our Vegemite because it s quintessentially Australian, we send it to our expat friends overseas and enjoy the revulsion international visitors display on tasting it.

    Of course, these days Vegemite is owned by US company Kraft Foods, so is slightly less Australian than we like to think. It s a similar story for other beloved Australian icons: the Victa mower, Speedo bathers and Tim Tams, so let s move on to those we can find on the ASX.

    The Hills Hoist, as well as being an eminently useful object, also taps into a feeling of nostalgia for the simplicity of Australian suburban life. The only clothesline ever to have a starring role in an Olympics Opening Ceremony, the Hills Hoist was invented by Lance Hill in his Adelaide backyard in 1945. Hill and his brother-in-law started Hills Industries (ASX: HIL) taking the backyard operation to a multinational manufacturing enterprise. The company has since diversified its product range, and according to the website is now the Australia s largest antenna producer.

    Hills Industries: HIL

  • 2 Week High: $5.30
  • 52 Week Low: $2.57
  • Dividend Yield: 10.46%
  • PE Ratio: 9.89
  • Products which can invariably be associated with leisure time and enjoyment, and which have mass appeal provide the basis of a sound investment. Four N Twenty pies are arguably the most popular pies on the market in a nation of enthusiastic pie eaters. They are an institution for footy fans, and can be found in every supermarket, corner shop and school cafeteria around the country. In 2003 Patties Foods (ASX: PFL) purchased Four N Twenty from US company Simplot, and has since gone on to entrench the pies as the Number 1 brand in the Australian retail frozen savoury segment (2006).

    Patties Foods: PFL

  • 52 Week High: $1.465
  • 52 Week Low: $0.75
  • Dividend Yield: 8.2%
  • PE Ratio: 8.9
  • Patties Foods

    Likewise, iconic beers like Victoria Bitter and XXXX have traditionally been associated with a particularly Australian way of life, through images of blokes having a laugh over a beer in the pub to Allan Border lounging on a tropical beach with lager in hand, these products tap into our notion of a good Australian lifestyle. While the market for mainstream beers may have been challenged in recent times by the increasing popularity of wine and alcopops, both Fosters Group (ASX: FGL) and Lion Nathan (ASX: LNN) have a range of brands to appeal to all segments of the market.

    Foster s Group: FGL

  • 52 Week High: $6.17
  • 52 Week Low: $4.26
  • Dividend Yield: 5%
  • PE Ratio: 90.52
  • Fosters Group

    Lion Nathan: LNN

  • 52 Week High: $9.99
  • 52 Week Low: $7.36
  • Dividend Yield: 5.06%
  • PE Ratio: 16.21
  • Lion Nathan

    The development of the Australian Bionic Ear, or Cochlear Implant, stands out as one of this country s most impressive achievements. The result of pioneering research by Professor Graeme Clark and the University of Melbourne, the artificial hearing device produces useful hearing sensations by electronically stimulating the nerves inside the inner ear. Following a successful prototype the device was commercially developed by Cochlear (ASX: COH), and has now been implanted in more than 100,000 people worldwide.

    Cochlear: COH

  • 52 Week High: $73
  • 52 Week Low: $42.80
  • Dividend Yield: 2.868%
  • PE Ratio: 25.76
  • Cochlear

    In more recent times, Billabong (ASX: BBG) has provided a modern and youthful brand which has been immensely popular, and until the recent general share market collapse, it was a success for investors. From the first pairs of boardshorts sewn on founders Gordon and Rena Merchant s kitchen table, Billabong has symbolised the sense of adventure, fun and daring of Australian surfers. After initial success Billabong was able to steadily expand the brand by moving surf clothes and accessories away from being exclusively worn at the beach. It now dominates the market and has a strong international presence.

    Billabong: BBG

  • 52 Week High: $14.16
  • 52 Week Low: $6.68
  • Dividend Yield: 7.4%
  • PE Ratio: 8.75
  • Billabong

    The feel-good factor associated with these iconic products may be unquantifiable but it s not without value. Next time you re looking for investment ideas, why not wave a little flag and set up a watchlist of your favourite Australian brands? In a turbulent stock market environment investors often seek the safety of well-known, blue chip companies, but it s worth remembering those products which have maintained a steady and strong popularity among consumers, in some cases for decades.

    By Lucy McPhee

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    Other articles and reports like this are frequently posted on this blog. Keep an eye out!

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